Florida Atlantic @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2024)

Sat, Nov 16, 2024, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff61°F12 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

2-7 · Power #118

final

Final

Temple

2-7 · Power #127

▲ winner

Closing spread

TEM -2.5

✓ TEM W

Total

50.5

▼ Under · 33 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 23–25 TEM

✓ TEM (55%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFAU -1

CloseTEM -2.5

Total49.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFAU -1

3.5 → TEM

CloseTEM -2.5

3.5 pts toward Temple

Total

Open49.5

▲ 1

Close50.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FAU -1 · closed TEM -2.5 · moved 3.5 toward TEMmodel FAU -2

model FAU -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 57%, covered 49% (183 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 45% (60 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFAU -1

CloseTEM -2.5

Total49.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TEM as a 2.5-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TEM won 18–15; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 33 points stayed under 50.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 3.2 against an average line of 2.9; 51.4 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MASS vs CONN 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & season form	-2.5	18–31	L	U50.75
Close	ULM vs TXST 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar total & spread	-2.5	31–30	L	O52.5
Close	EMU vs CMU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & rest	-1	38–19	W	O53.5
Close	BUFF vs M-OH 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest	-3	24–20	W	U50.25
Close	TLSA vs CLT 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	26–33	L	O47.5
Close	CLT vs RICE 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	31–24	W	O52.25
Close	AKR vs BUFF 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	10–13	L	U55.5
Close	FIU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	14–27	L	U43
Close	MASS vs ARST 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest	-1.5	28–52	L	O55
Close	CONN vs USF 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & season form	-1	21–24	L	U57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU LWLLL	3-6	33%	1-3	2-3
TEM LWWLL	4-5	44%	3-1	1-0

Venue/role: FAU away, as underdog; TEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU UOOOO	6-3	67%	2-7
TEM OOUOO	6-3	67%	2-7

Stayed under: it needed 38 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 54% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	2-8 20%	3-6-1 33%	6-4 60%
TEM	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

FAU 0–1 TEM TEM leads · 1 game since 2024 · TEM has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−6.9 →−13.5▼ 6.6#119

TEM−13.8 →−17.6▼ 3.8#127

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

FAU

Longer bar = better

TEM

#100

Offense

◀ FAU better

#128

#101

Defense

Even

#111

0.0 #70

Turnovers

◀ FAU better

−1.0 #128

67 plays #73

Pace

◀ FAU faster

64 plays #98

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Even matchup

	FAU off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	22.9 #107	37.2 #129	FAU
Yards / play	5.55 #85	6.11 #109	FAU
PPA / play	+0.08 #99	+0.21 #112	Even
Success rate	39% #109	44% #94	Even

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: FAU defense

	TEM off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	19.2 #124	32.2 #112	Even
Yards / play	4.74 #132	6.30 #115	Even
PPA / play	0.00 #120	+0.14 #85	FAU
Success rate	34% #134	43% #93	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	4.2 #104	8.7 #58	12.9 #86	6.6 #54	3.4 #133	10.0 #113
TEM allowed	7.8 #114	11.9 #125	19.7 #126	11.0 #134	6.6 #73	17.6 #125

TEM scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	2.2 #132	6.1 #115	8.3 #128	4.0 #112	6.9 #72	10.9 #106
FAU allowed	7.1 #108	8.4 #85	15.6 #102	7.6 #109	9.1 #117	16.7 #118

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.