Boise State @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Sat, Nov 23, 2024, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Weather at kickoff40°F8 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Boise State

9-1 · Power #29

▲ winner

Final

Wyoming

2-8 · Power #114

final

Closing spread

BOIS -25.5

✓ WYO W

Total

54.5

▼ Under · 30 pts

Model before kickoff

BOIS 40–15 WYO

✓ BOIS (96%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBOIS -23.5

CloseBOIS -25.5

Total57.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBOIS -23.5

2 → BOIS

CloseBOIS -25.5

2 pts toward Boise State

Total

Open57.5

▼ 3

Close54.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BOIS -23.5 · closed BOIS -25.5 · moved 2 toward BOISmodel BOIS -22

model BOIS -22

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (103 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBOIS -23.5

CloseBOIS -25.5

Total57.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BOIS as a 25.5-point road favorite at WYO, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: BOIS won 17–13; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 30 points stayed under 54.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 21.5 against an average line of 25.3; 58.5 points a game (usually 54.7). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	HOU @ TEM 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-25.5	37–8	W	U52.5
Very close	ND @ STAN 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-26	56–23	W	O50
Very close	SMU @ TEM 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-24	55–0	W	O53
Close	CIN @ USF 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-24	45–28	L	O58.5
Close	UTAH @ ARIZ 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & rest	-24	38–29	L	O54.5
Close	OU @ BYU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & rest	-24.5	31–24	L	U58.5
Close	CIN @ TULN 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & season form	-28	31–12	L	U61.5
Close	MIZ @ MASS 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest	-27	45–3	W	U53.5
Close	CIN @ NAVY 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-28.5	27–20	L	U49.25
Close	LOU @ STAN 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & season form	-21	35–38	L	O57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BOIS WWWLW	7-2	78%	4-1	6-2
WYO LWLWL	3-6	33%	1-3	3-4

Venue/role: BOIS away, as favorite; WYO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BOIS UUOUO	6-3	67%	9-1
WYO OUUOU	5-4	56%	2-8

Stayed under: it needed 35 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 52% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BOIS	9-1 90%	7-2 78%	6-3 67%
WYO	2-8 20%	3-6 33%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

BOIS 1–0 WYO BOIS leads · 1 game since 2023 · BOIS has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 28 2023	Wyoming 7 @ Boise State 32	BOIS -4.5	BOIS W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BOIS+2.2 →+10.3▲ 8.1#22

WYO−4.9 →−14.1▼ 9.2#122

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

BOIS

Longer bar = better

WYO

Offense

◀ BOIS better

#124

#68

Defense

◀ BOIS better

#112

+0.7 #23

Turnovers

◀ BOIS better

−0.4 #101

69 plays #35

Pace

◀ BOIS faster

67 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BOIS has the ball

Advantage: BOIS offense

	BOIS off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	43.6 #2	30.9 #105	BOIS
Yards / play	7.09 #3	6.59 #126	BOIS
PPA / play	+0.39 #3	+0.21 #114	BOIS
Success rate	49% #9	44% #104	BOIS

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: BOIS defense

	WYO off	BOIS def	Edge
Points / game	20.4 #122	24.7 #67	BOIS
Yards / play	4.88 #125	5.68 #80	BOIS
PPA / play	0.00 #120	+0.10 #65	BOIS
Success rate	36% #129	41% #58	BOIS

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

BOIS scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BOIS scored	9.3 #10	14.5 #1	23.8 #1	6.6 #54	13.2 #2	19.8 #5
WYO allowed	8.9 #129	11.2 #123	20.1 #127	7.2 #108	3.6 #8	10.8 #43

WYO scoring against the BOIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	4.4 #97	5.9 #119	10.3 #117	3.7 #120	6.4 #86	10.1 #116
BOIS allowed	4.8 #58	7.1 #60	11.9 #59	5.5 #65	7.3 #85	12.8 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.