Wyoming @ Colorado State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2024)

Fri, Nov 15, 2024, 8:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Colorado State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff40°F2 mphDryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

2-7 · Power #114

final

Final

Colorado State

6-3 · Power #100

▲ winner

Closing spread

CSU -7.5

✓ CSU W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 20–28 CSU

✓ CSU (71%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCSU -10

CloseCSU -7.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCSU -10

2.5 → WYO

CloseCSU -7.5

2.5 pts toward Wyoming

Total

Open47.5

▼ 1

Close46.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CSU -10 · closed CSU -7.5 · moved 2.5 toward WYOmodel CSU -9.5

model CSU -9.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 70%, covered 54% (107 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 47% (78 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCSU -10

CloseCSU -7.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CSU as a 7.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: CSU won 24–10; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 46.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.5 against an average line of 7.5; 49.1 points a game (usually 53.8). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BGSU vs BALL 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	24–21	L	O39.5
Very close	MTSU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar season form & situation	-8	34–30	L	O48.5
Very close	FAU vs ECU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	7–22	L	U44.75
Very close	UTEP vs RICE 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & situation	-9	38–28	W	O47
Very close	LT vs UTEP 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & season form	-6.5	14–10	L	U49
Very close	CMU vs BGSU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & team ratings	-6	18–34	L	O50.5
Close	NCSU vs STAN 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar total & situation	-9.5	59–28	W	O46.5
Close	NIU vs BALL 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-9.5	17–20	L	U43
Close	MTSU vs FIU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-10.5	40–6	W	U51
Close	CSU vs SDSU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar total & season form	-3.5	22–19	L	U46.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO WLWLW	3-5	38%	2-2	3-3
CSU WWWWW	6-3	67%	3-2	5-1

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; CSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO OOUUO	5-3	63%	2-7
CSU OOUUO	4-5	44%	6-3

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 54% of games with totals 42.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	3-7 30%	3-6 33%	5-4 56%
CSU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WYO 1–0 CSU WYO leads · 1 game since 2023 · WYO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 3 2023	Colorado State 15 @ Wyoming 24	WYO -6	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−4.9 →−14.0▼ 9.1#121

CSU−8.3 →−7.6▲ 0.7#99

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

WYO

Longer bar = better

CSU

#122

Offense

CSU better ▶

#82

#114

Defense

CSU better ▶

#78

−0.6 #108

Turnovers

CSU better ▶

+0.2 #57

68 plays #56

Pace

◀ WYO faster

62 plays #117

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: CSU defense

	WYO off	CSU def	Edge
Points / game	21.6 #116	24.1 #66	CSU
Yards / play	4.95 #124	5.83 #90	CSU
PPA / play	+0.02 #116	+0.08 #59	CSU
Success rate	36% #130	44% #97	CSU

When CSU has the ball

Advantage: CSU offense

	CSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	23.6 #104	31.7 #108	Even
Yards / play	5.84 #66	6.53 #124	CSU
PPA / play	+0.10 #91	+0.21 #113	CSU
Success rate	44% #68	45% #110	CSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the CSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	4.9 #92	6.2 #116	11.1 #107	3.3 #122	7.1 #64	10.4 #111
CSU allowed	2.3 #11	7.2 #59	9.6 #27	5.0 #52	7.9 #102	12.9 #77

CSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CSU scored	5.3 #81	7.2 #91	12.6 #89	4.7 #97	5.6 #104	10.2 #112
WYO allowed	8.3 #122	12.1 #127	20.4 #128	7.2 #104	4.0 #11	11.2 #52

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.