Wyoming @ New Mexico: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2024)

Sat, Nov 2, 2024, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at New Mexico · Conference game

Weather at kickoff68°F8 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

1-7 · Power #114

▲ winner

Final

New Mexico

3-5 · Power #111

final

Closing spread

UNM -7.5

✓ WYO W

Total

60.5

▲ Over · 94 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 26–33 UNM

✗ UNM (69%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUNM -6.5

CloseUNM -7.5

Total60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUNM -6.5

1 → UNM

CloseUNM -7.5

1 pt toward New Mexico

Total

Open60.5

no move

Close60.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UNM -6.5 · closed UNM -7.5 · moved 1 toward UNMmodel UNM -5.5

model UNM -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 55% (103 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (81 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUNM -6.5

CloseUNM -7.5

Total60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UNM as a 7.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: WYO won 49–45 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 94 points went over 60.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.5 against an average line of 6.4; 62.9 points a game (usually 53.7). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	USF vs CLT 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	48–14	W	O56.75
Very close	KENT vs BALL 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & situation	-7	20–27	L	U61.75
Very close	UNM vs AFA 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar team ratings & season form	-7	52–37	W	O56
Very close	KENT vs EMU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	24–31	L	U60
Close	LT vs CLT 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-7	42–32	W	O58.25
Close	EMU vs BUFF 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	31–50	L	O57.5
Close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5
Close	WKU vs MTSU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar total & spread	-6.5	31–10	W	U60
Close	TULN vs USF 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	45–14	W	U59.5
Close	CLT vs RICE 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	31–24	W	O52.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO LWLWL	2-5	29%	1-2	2-3
UNM LWWWL	5-3	63%	2-1	3-0

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; UNM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO OOOUU	4-3	57%	1-7
UNM UOOOU	6-2	75%	3-5

Went over in Q2. Of 153 earlier overs in games with totals 56.5–64.5, 29% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	3-7 30%	3-6 33%	5-4 56%
UNM	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WYO 1–0 UNM WYO leads · 1 game since 2023 · WYO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 30 2023	New Mexico 26 @ Wyoming 35	WYO -14.5	UNM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−4.9 →−15.0▼ 10.1#122

UNM−11.4 →−12.1▼ 0.7#115

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

WYO

Longer bar = better

UNM

#130

Offense

UNM better ▶

#36

#107

Defense

◀ WYO better

#132

−0.8 #115

Turnovers

Even

−0.9 #122

66 plays #77

Pace

UNM faster ▶

72 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Even matchup

	WYO off	UNM def	Edge
Points / game	18.1 #127	39.8 #132	Even
Yards / play	4.59 #130	7.03 #134	Even
PPA / play	−0.05 #127	+0.27 #129	Even
Success rate	33% #135	50% #131	Even

When UNM has the ball

Advantage: UNM offense

	UNM off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	33.5 #30	30.0 #104	UNM
Yards / play	6.54 #26	6.18 #110	UNM
PPA / play	+0.20 #41	+0.18 #105	UNM
Success rate	45% #45	44% #107	UNM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the UNM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	3.8 #111	4.4 #127	8.1 #129	3.8 #115	6.3 #84	10.0 #112
UNM allowed	7.5 #115	11.4 #127	18.9 #127	7.4 #106	13.5 #133	20.9 #133

UNM scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNM scored	6.4 #62	10.9 #25	17.3 #39	7.1 #48	9.1 #20	16.3 #32
WYO allowed	7.8 #116	10.9 #124	18.6 #125	6.9 #99	4.5 #23	11.4 #57

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.