James Madison @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2024)

Sat, Nov 16, 2024, 4:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Weather at kickoff59°F7 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

James Madison

7-2 · Power #59

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

4-5 · Power #78

final

Closing spread

JMU -1.5

✓ JMU W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 67 pts

Model before kickoff

JMU 26–23 ODU

✓ JMU (57%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -3.5

CloseJMU -1.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJMU -3.5

2 → ODU

CloseJMU -1.5

2 pts toward Old Dominion

Total

Open51.5

▼ 1

Close50.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JMU -3.5 · closed JMU -1.5 · moved 2 toward ODUmodel JMU -6.5

model JMU -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 53%, covered 49% (89 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 49% (41 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -3.5

CloseJMU -1.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 1.5-point road favorite at ODU, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: JMU won 35–32; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 67 points went over 50.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.2 against an average line of 2.9; 47.4 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MRSH @ TROY 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & season form	-3.25	7–16	L	U51.5
Close	DUKE @ UVA 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & total	-3.5	27–30	L	O47
Close	NCST @ FSU 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-3	28–14	W	U55
Close	ORST @ NEV 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-3	37–42	L	O47
Close	MSU @ RUTG 2021 · Week 6 · close · similar total & situation	-4	31–13	W	U50
Close	VT @ SYR 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar total & situation	-3.5	31–38	L	O53.5
Close	UCF @ MEM 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	35–28	W	O60.5
Close	AFA @ SDSU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-2	13–3	W	U43.5
Close	APP @ UL 2021 · Week 14 · close · similar total & situation	-2.5	16–24	L	U52
Close	MRSH @ FAU 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-1.5	28–13	W	U57.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JMU LWLLW	4-4	50%	1-2	3-4
ODU LWWWL	5-4	56%	2-2	5-2

Venue/role: JMU away, as favorite; ODU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JMU UUUUU	2-6	25%	7-2
ODU OUUOU	4-5	44%	4-5

Went over in Q3. Of 349 earlier overs in games with totals 46.5–54.5, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JMU	7-3 70%	4-5 44%	3-6 33%
ODU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

JMU 5–2 ODU JMU leads · 7 games since 2011 · JMU has won the last 5 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 28 2023	Old Dominion 27 @ James Madison 30	JMU -19.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JMU+2.2 →+5.2▲ 3.0#46

ODU−8.4 →−3.0▲ 5.4#78

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

JMU

Longer bar = better

ODU

#49

Offense

◀ JMU better

#87

Defense

◀ JMU better

#59

+2.0 #1

Turnovers

◀ JMU better

−0.2 #88

68 plays #55

Pace

Even

68 plays #49

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JMU has the ball

Even matchup

	JMU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	35.3 #23	25.2 #74	JMU
Yards / play	6.04 #55	5.62 #72	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #72	+0.09 #64	Even
Success rate	45% #46	38% #25	ODU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: JMU defense

	ODU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	25.4 #92	16.4 #10	JMU
Yards / play	5.53 #89	4.66 #11	JMU
PPA / play	+0.14 #69	−0.14 #3	JMU
Success rate	41% #99	34% #1	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

JMU scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	9.0 #16	10.8 #23	19.8 #17	8.4 #25	7.1 #65	15.6 #39
ODU allowed	5.7 #81	5.0 #17	10.7 #39	6.8 #94	7.8 #96	14.6 #107

ODU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	6.4 #55	7.6 #83	14.0 #68	5.2 #86	6.2 #88	11.4 #99
JMU allowed	4.2 #47	6.4 #50	10.7 #39	3.7 #20	2.1 #1	5.8 #5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.