Marshall @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Sat, Nov 23, 2024, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Weather at kickoff51°F7 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Marshall

7-3 · Power #69

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

4-6 · Power #78

final

Closing spread

ODU -2.5

✓ MRSH W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 77 pts

Model before kickoff

MRSH 24–27 ODU

✗ ODU (57%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -1.5

CloseODU -2.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -1.5

1 → ODU

CloseODU -2.5

1 pt toward Old Dominion

Total

Open51.5

no move

Close51.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -1.5 · closed ODU -2.5 · moved 1 toward ODUmodel ODU -3

model ODU -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 56%, covered 48% (198 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (109 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -1.5

CloseODU -2.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 2.5-point home favorite against MRSH, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: MRSH won 42–35 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 77 points went over 51.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.2 against an average line of 3.1; 47.2 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FAU vs MTSU 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	17–27	L	U49.5
Very close	BGSU vs NIU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & season form	-3	7–17	L	U46.5
Very close	TROY vs USA 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	31–24	W	O47.5
Very close	NCSU vs DUKE 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	19–29	L	U51.5
Very close	TULN vs UTSA 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	29–16	W	U52.5
Very close	TOL vs BGSU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-2	26–41	L	O48
Very close	ORST vs WSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & season form	-3	24–10	W	U51.5
Very close	COLO vs BAY 2024 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	38–31	W	O52.5
Very close	WSU vs CAL 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-4	28–9	W	U52.5
Very close	BC vs FSU 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	23–26	L	U55.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MRSH WWLWW	9-1	90%	4-0	3-0
ODU WWWLL	5-5	50%	2-3	0-2

Venue/role: MRSH away, as underdog; ODU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MRSH UOOUU	4-6	40%	7-3
ODU UUOUO	5-5	50%	4-6

Went over in Q3. Of 391 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MRSH	7-3 70%	9-1 90%	4-6 40%
ODU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MRSH 1–0 ODU MRSH leads · 1 game since 2023 · MRSH has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 30 2023	Old Dominion 35 @ Marshall 41	MRSH -14.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MRSH−5.5 →−3.1▲ 2.4#79

ODU−8.4 →−2.5▲ 5.9#75

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

MRSH

Longer bar = better

ODU

#57

Offense

◀ MRSH better

#83

#51

Defense

Even

#63

+0.7 #24

Turnovers

◀ MRSH better

−0.3 #95

64 plays #97

Pace

ODU faster ▶

69 plays #41

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MRSH has the ball

Even matchup

	MRSH off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	30.6 #50	26.2 #79	MRSH
Yards / play	5.97 #57	5.66 #76	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #55	+0.10 #66	Even
Success rate	43% #65	38% #29	ODU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: MRSH defense

	ODU off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	26.1 #87	22.9 #54	MRSH
Yards / play	5.63 #81	5.37 #55	MRSH
PPA / play	+0.14 #64	+0.06 #48	Even
Success rate	41% #99	40% #45	MRSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

MRSH scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	5.8 #69	11.4 #19	17.2 #34	5.8 #72	7.6 #47	13.4 #67
ODU allowed	5.8 #84	5.9 #31	11.7 #54	6.8 #102	7.7 #95	14.5 #103

ODU scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	6.5 #50	8.5 #61	15.0 #55	4.7 #100	6.4 #87	11.1 #104
MRSH allowed	3.7 #30	5.8 #25	9.5 #24	5.9 #74	7.5 #90	13.4 #86

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.