Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Sat, Nov 23, 2024, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff58°F7 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Southern

6-4 · Power #90

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

5-5 · Power #101

final

Closing spread

CCU -1.5

✓ GASO W

Total

59.5

▼ Under · 32 pts

Model before kickoff

GASO 29–31 CCU

✗ CCU (55%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -2

CloseCCU -1.5

Total56.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCCU -2

0.5 → GASO

CloseCCU -1.5

0.5 pts toward Georgia Southern

Total

Open56.5

▲ 3

Close59.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CCU -2 · closed CCU -1.5 · moved 0.5 toward GASOmodel CCU -2.5

model CCU -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 50%, covered 47% (123 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -2

CloseCCU -1.5

Total56.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CCU as a 1.5-point home favorite against GASO, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: GASO won 26–6 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 32 points stayed under 59.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 9.1 against an average line of 3.3; 53.3 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GAST vs APP 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	14–42	L	U62.5
Very close	APP vs MRSH 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3	31–9	W	U57.5
Very close	UVA vs GT 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & rest	-1.5	17–45	L	O56
Very close	USF vs FAU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	14–56	L	O61
Very close	SJSU vs USU 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	17–48	L	O58
Very close	UL vs GASO 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	36–17	W	U63
Very close	BAY vs HOU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	24–25	L	U58.5
Very close	EMU vs NIU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	10–39	L	U64.25
Very close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5
Very close	BALL vs BUFF 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & season form	-6	20–3	W	U59.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GASO LWLWL	6-4	60%	3-2	5-1
CCU LLLWL	4-6	40%	3-2	2-2

Venue/role: GASO away, as underdog; CCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GASO UUOOU	5-5	50%	6-4
CCU UOOUU	6-4	60%	5-5

Stayed under: it needed 41 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 47% of games with totals 55.5–63.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GASO	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
CCU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

GASO 9–4 CCU GASO leads · 13 games since 2006 · GASO has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 30 2023	Coastal Carolina 28 @ Georgia Southern 38	GASO -6	GASO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GASO−6.0 →−6.6▼ 0.6#96

CCU−2.5 →−6.4▼ 3.9#95

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

GASO

Longer bar = better

CCU

#78

Offense

Even

#70

#117

Defense

CCU better ▶

#98

−0.2 #86

Turnovers

CCU better ▶

+0.4 #45

68 plays #57

Pace

◀ GASO faster

65 plays #96

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	28.3 #62	31.4 #110	GASO
Yards / play	5.33 #104	5.83 #90	Even
PPA / play	+0.14 #70	+0.14 #90	Even
Success rate	43% #75	44% #103	GASO

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: CCU offense

	CCU off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	30.4 #50	30.2 #104	CCU
Yards / play	5.94 #61	6.56 #124	CCU
PPA / play	+0.13 #72	+0.22 #116	CCU
Success rate	41% #98	47% #124	CCU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

GASO scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	5.2 #83	8.8 #58	14.0 #69	6.1 #66	8.2 #42	14.3 #53
CCU allowed	5.1 #67	12.1 #127	17.2 #118	5.2 #55	9.0 #116	14.2 #102

CCU scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	9.0 #15	7.2 #91	16.2 #42	8.2 #25	6.0 #97	14.2 #56
GASO allowed	7.4 #112	7.2 #61	14.6 #94	9.8 #127	5.8 #49	15.6 #113

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.