Oregon @ Oregon State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2024)

Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Oregon State

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Oregon

2-0 · Power #5

▲ winner

Final

Oregon State

2-0 · Power #98

final

Closing spread

—

Total

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Model before kickoff

ORE 31–22 ORST

✓ ORE (75%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORE –L	0-1	0%	—	—
ORST LW	1-1	50%	0-1	—

Venue/role: ORE away; ORST home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORE –O	1-0	100%	2-0
ORST UU	0-2	0%	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORE	9-1 90%	5-4 56%	4-4-1 50%
ORST	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	3-6 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ORE 1–0 ORST ORE leads · 1 game since 2023 · ORE has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 24 2023	Oregon State 7 @ Oregon 31	ORE -14	ORE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ORE+22.4 →+16.5▼ 5.9#10

ORST+7.8 →+5.8▼ 2.0#33

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

ORE

Longer bar = better

ORST

#67

Offense

Even

#55

#62

Defense

ORST better ▶

#35

−0.5 #97

Turnovers

ORST better ▶

+1.0 #41

72 plays #30

Pace

Even

75 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ORE has the ball

Advantage: ORST defense

	ORE off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	30.5 #73	7.5 #16	ORST
Yards / play	5.83 #75	4.45 #46	ORST
PPA / play	+0.12 #77	−0.06 #40	ORST
Success rate	48% #41	33% #37	Even

When ORST has the ball

Even matchup

	ORST off	ORE def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #80	24.0 #86	Even
Yards / play	6.20 #60	4.88 #65	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #54	+0.02 #74	Even
Success rate	51% #25	31% #21	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 FBS teams

ORE scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORE scored	7.0	7.0	14.0	6.5	10.0	16.5
ORST allowed	4.5	0.0	4.5	3.0	0.0	3.0

ORST scoring against the ORE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	7.0	5.0	12.0	7.0	10.5	17.5
ORE allowed	1.5	8.5	10.0	3.5	10.5	14.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.