Ball State @ Miami: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2024)

Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 5:55 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Miami

Weather at kickoff78°F1 mphgusts 11Wet0.1 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Ball State

1-0 · Power #126

final

Final

Miami

2-0 · Power #9

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

BALL 10–42 MIA

✓ MIA (99%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BALL W	1-0	100%	—	—
MIA WW	2-0	100%	1-0	—

Venue/role: BALL away; MIA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BALL O	1-0	100%	1-0
MIA OO	2-0	100%	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BALL	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	3-6 33%
MIA	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BALL−11.2 →−12.6▼ 1.4#119

MIA+9.9 →+17.0▲ 7.1#8

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

BALL

Longer bar = better

MIA

#76

Offense

MIA better ▶

#12

#97

Defense

MIA better ▶

#31

+1.0 #32

Turnovers

MIA better ▶

+2.0 #9

80 plays #6

Pace

◀ BALL faster

70 plays #35

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BALL has the ball

Advantage: MIA defense

	BALL off	MIA def	Edge
Points / game	42.0 #23	13.0 #34	Even
Yards / play	5.44 #88	4.21 #35	MIA
PPA / play	+0.03 #100	−0.18 #19	MIA
Success rate	40% #93	33% #36	MIA

When MIA has the ball

Advantage: MIA offense

	MIA off	BALL def	Edge
Points / game	48.5 #11	34.0 #121	MIA
Yards / play	7.70 #17	5.82 #96	MIA
PPA / play	+0.52 #8	+0.05 #81	MIA
Success rate	57% #12	42% #91	MIA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.