Hawai'i @ Sam Houston: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2024)

Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Sam Houston

Weather at kickoff93°F3 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Hawai'i

1-1 · Power #109

final

Final

Sam Houston

1-1 · Power #93

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

—

Model before kickoff

HAW 21–27 SHSU

✓ SHSU (68%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HAW LW	1-1	50%	—	—
SHSU WL	1-1	50%	—	—

Venue/role: HAW away; SHSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
HAW UU	0-2	0%	1-1
SHSU UO	1-1	50%	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HAW	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
SHSU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

HAW−11.7 →−9.1▲ 2.6#104

SHSU−10.8 →−8.3▲ 2.5#100

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

HAW

Longer bar = better

SHSU

#97

Offense

Even

#96

#48

Defense

◀ HAW better

#107

−0.5 #89

Turnovers

SHSU better ▶

+0.5 #55

66 plays #73

Pace

◀ HAW faster

64 plays #87

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When HAW has the ball

Even matchup

	HAW off	SHSU def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #96	29.5 #107	Even
Yards / play	4.65 #118	6.09 #106	Even
PPA / play	+0.01 #107	+0.18 #104	Even
Success rate	44% #68	45% #109	HAW

When SHSU has the ball

Advantage: HAW defense

	SHSU off	HAW def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #98	15.0 #46	HAW
Yards / play	5.46 #86	4.98 #69	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #75	−0.02 #58	Even
Success rate	34% #125	31% #20	HAW

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 68 FBS teams

HAW scoring against the SHSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HAW scored	10.5	1.5	12.0	5.0	7.0	12.0
SHSU allowed	7.0	8.5	15.5	10.5	3.5	14.0

SHSU scoring against the HAW defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SHSU scored	8.5	7.0	15.5	5.0	3.5	8.5
HAW allowed	0.0	3.5	3.5	8.5	3.0	11.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.