Sat, Sep 14, 2024, 9:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Wyoming
Weather at kickoff70°F4 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›
2-0 · Power #22
34
▲ winner
Final
@
0-2 · Power #114
14
final
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
BYU 26–19 WYO
✓ BYU (70%) won
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
BYU has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
BYU−4.1 →+1.4▲ 5.5#64
WYO−4.9 →−9.0▼ 4.1#103
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

BYU
Longer bar = better
WYO
#79
Offense
◀ BYU better
#137
#25
Defense
◀ BYU better
#98
+0.5 #48
Turnovers
◀ BYU better
−2.0 #134
71 plays #30
Pace
◀ BYU faster
61 plays #113
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When BYU has the ball
Even matchup
BYU offWYO defEdge
Points / game 29.5 #75 32.5 #118 BYU
Yards / play 6.12 #66 5.53 #84 Even
PPA / play +0.11 #85 +0.10 #84 Even
Success rate 41% #91 44% #107 Even
When WYO has the ball
Advantage: BYU defense
WYO offBYU defEdge
Points / game 10.0 #136 14.0 #36 BYU
Yards / play 3.21 #137 4.00 #17 BYU
PPA / play −0.27 #137 −0.11 #23 BYU
Success rate 26% #137 32% #22 BYU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 103 FBS teams
BYU scoring against the WYO defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
BYU scored
10.5
1.5
12.0
11.0
6.5
17.5
WYO allowed
12.0
10.0
22.0
10.5
0.0
10.5
WYO scoring against the BYU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WYO scored
5.0
0.0
5.0
0.0
5.0
5.0
BYU allowed
0.0
7.5
7.5
5.0
1.5
6.5

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
WYO +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 4 mph
gusts 17 mph · at kickoff
Rest
BYU8d
WYO7d
BYU +1 day
Tempo
Average 131 plays
slowavg 132fast
Altitude
BYU +2,592 ft
moderate climb

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week