Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Washington State
Closing spread
TTU -2.5
✓ WSU W
Total
64.5
▼ Under · 53 pts
Model before kickoff
TTU 31–29 WSU
✗ TTU (54%) lost
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenWSU -1.5
CloseTTU -2.5
Total65.5 → 64.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWSU -1.5
4 → TTU
CloseTTU -2.5
4 pts toward Texas Tech
Total
Open65.5
▼ 1
Close64.5
Down 1 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WSU -1.5 · closed TTU -2.5 · moved 4 toward TTUmodel WSU -3.5
model WSU -3.5
Opened 65.5 · closed 64.5 · moved 1 downmodel 60
model 60
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 51%, covered 41% (72 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenWSU -1.5
CloseTTU -2.5
Total65.5 → 64.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
TTU as a 2.5-point road favorite at WSU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Texas Tech ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Market moved toward Texas Tech
4 pts (WSU -1.5 → TTU -2.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Small sample warning
Texas Tech has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 21 in the 4th quarter and got 9. 44% of games with totals 60.5–68.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-4 56% | |
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-3 67% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TTU+4.7 →+3.1▼ 1.6#50
WSU+2.5 →+2.7▲ 0.2#54
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1
Longer bar = better
#21
Offense
WSU better ▶#3
#132
Defense
WSU better ▶#68
+1.0 #40
Turnovers
Even+1.0 #39
74 plays #26
Pace
◀ TTU faster51 plays #134
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TTU off | WSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 52.0 #11 | 30.0 #108 | TTU |
| Yards / play | 7.28 #30 | 5.41 #84 | TTU |
| PPA / play | +0.38 #23 | −0.10 #39 | Even |
| Success rate | 55% #18 | 33% #39 | TTU |
| WSU off | TTU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 70.0 #1 | 51.0 #136 | WSU |
| Yards / play | 12.49 #1 | 7.15 #131 | WSU |
| PPA / play | +1.02 #1 | +0.38 #134 | WSU |
| Success rate | 59% #10 | 50% #126 | WSU |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
83° · 5 mph
gusts 7 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TTU7d
WSU7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 125 plays
slowavg 132fast
Travel
TTU 1,211 mi
2 time zones
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

