Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Washington State
Weather at kickoff83°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #46
16
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #68
37
▲ winner
Closing spread
TTU -2.5
✓ WSU W
Total
64.5
▼ Under · 53 pts
Model before kickoff
TTU 31–29 WSU
✗ TTU (54%) lost
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenWSU -1.5
CloseTTU -2.5
Total65.5 → 64.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
4 pts toward Texas Tech
Total
Down 1 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WSU -1.5 · closed TTU -2.5 · moved 4 toward TTUmodel WSU -3.5
Opened 65.5 · closed 64.5 · moved 1 downmodel 60
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 51%, covered 41% (72 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenWSU -1.5
CloseTTU -2.5
Total65.5 → 64.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for TTU as a 2.5-point road favorite at WSU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Texas Tech ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Market moved toward Texas Tech
4 pts (WSU -1.5 → TTU -2.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Small sample warning
Texas Tech has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TTU+4.7 →+3.1▼ 1.6#50
WSU+2.5 →+2.7▲ 0.2#54
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

TTU
Longer bar = better
WSU
#21
Offense
WSU better ▶
#3
#132
Defense
WSU better ▶
#68
+1.0 #40
Turnovers
Even
+1.0 #39
74 plays #26
Pace
◀ TTU faster
51 plays #134
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When TTU has the ball
Advantage: TTU offense
TTU offWSU defEdge
Points / game 52.0 #11 30.0 #108 TTU
Yards / play 7.28 #30 5.41 #84 TTU
PPA / play +0.38 #23 −0.10 #39 Even
Success rate 55% #18 33% #39 TTU
When WSU has the ball
Advantage: WSU offense
WSU offTTU defEdge
Points / game 70.0 #1 51.0 #136 WSU
Yards / play 12.49 #1 7.15 #131 WSU
PPA / play +1.02 #1 +0.38 #134 WSU
Success rate 59% #10 50% #126 WSU

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
WSU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
83° · 5 mph
gusts 7 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TTU7d
WSU7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 125 plays
slowavg 132fast
Travel
TTU 1,211 mi
2 time zones

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week