Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Nebraska
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
COLO 21–31 NEB
✓ NEB (79%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Nebraska have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 5-4-1 56% | 5-5 50% | |
| 5-5 50% | 2-5-1 29% | 4-3 57% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
COLO 1–0 NEB
COLO leads · 1 game since 2023 · COLO has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 2023 | Nebraska 14 @ Colorado 36 | COLO -2.5 | COLO W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
COLO+0.6 →−3.1▼ 3.7#78
NEB+2.3 →+4.6▲ 2.3#38
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1
Longer bar = better
#40
Offense
◀ COLO better#55
#108
Defense
NEB better ▶#51
−1.0 #104
Turnovers
NEB better ▶+1.0 #24
57 plays #115
Pace
NEB faster ▶83 plays #6
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| COLO off | NEB def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 31.0 #72 | 7.0 #33 | NEB |
| Yards / play | 8.84 #13 | 4.10 #47 | COLO |
| PPA / play | +0.35 #48 | +0.08 #80 | COLO |
| Success rate | 54% #27 | 32% #43 | Even |
| NEB off | COLO def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 40.0 #49 | 26.0 #90 | NEB |
| Yards / play | 6.11 #68 | 6.51 #112 | NEB |
| PPA / play | +0.30 #55 | +0.34 #120 | NEB |
| Success rate | 51% #47 | 46% #109 | NEB |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 6 mph
gusts 15 mph · at kickoff
Rest
COLO9d
NEB7d
COLO +2 days
Tempo
Fast 140 plays
slowavg 133fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

