Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Nebraska
Weather at kickoff70°F6 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #25
10
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #41
28
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
COLO 21–31 NEB
✓ NEB (79%) won
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Nebraska have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
COLO+0.6 →−3.1▼ 3.7#78
NEB+2.3 →+4.6▲ 2.3#38
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

COLO
Longer bar = better
NEB
#40
Offense
◀ COLO better
#55
#108
Defense
NEB better ▶
#51
−1.0 #104
Turnovers
NEB better ▶
+1.0 #24
57 plays #115
Pace
NEB faster ▶
83 plays #6
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When COLO has the ball
Even matchup
COLO offNEB defEdge
Points / game 31.0 #72 7.0 #33 NEB
Yards / play 8.84 #13 4.10 #47 COLO
PPA / play +0.35 #48 +0.08 #80 COLO
Success rate 54% #27 32% #43 Even
When NEB has the ball
Advantage: NEB offense
NEB offCOLO defEdge
Points / game 40.0 #49 26.0 #90 NEB
Yards / play 6.11 #68 6.51 #112 NEB
PPA / play +0.30 #55 +0.34 #120 NEB
Success rate 51% #47 46% #109 NEB

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
NEB +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 6 mph
gusts 15 mph · at kickoff
Rest
COLO9d
NEB7d
COLO +2 days
Tempo
Fast 140 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

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