Western Michigan @ Ohio State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2024)

Sat, Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Ohio State

Weather at kickoff61°F5 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Western Michigan

0-1 · Power #107

final

Final

Ohio State

1-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

OSU -37.5

✓ OSU W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 56 pts

Model before kickoff

WMU 9–47 OSU

✓ OSU (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOSU -39

CloseOSU -37.5

Total54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOSU -39

1.5 → WMU

CloseOSU -37.5

1.5 pts toward Western Michigan

Total

Open54.5

no move

Close54.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OSU -39 · closed OSU -37.5 · moved 1.5 toward WMUmodel OSU -39

model OSU -39

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOSU -39

CloseOSU -37.5

Total54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OSU as a 37.5-point home favorite against WMU, the favorite won 10, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: OSU won 56–0; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 56 points went over 54.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

3 of 838%

Normal range · usually 61%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 52%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 38 against an average line of 38.1; 57.4 points a game (usually 57.1). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	UGA vs VAN 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-37.5	55–0	W	U56.5
Close	UGA vs UAB 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & rest	-41	49–21	L	O56
Close	UGA vs GT 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-36.5	37–14	L	O49
Close	UGA vs BALL 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & rest	-42	45–3	P	U52.5
Loose	MICH vs BGSU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-40.75	31–6	L	U53.5
Loose	OSU vs RUTG 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & spread	-39	49–10	P	O58
Loose	ND vs CMU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-34.75	41–17	L	O51.25
Loose	CLEM vs LT 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-33.5	48–20	L	O53.5
Loose	PSU vs MASS 2023 · Week 7 · loose · similar situation	-42	63–0	W	O55
Loose	CCU vs ULM 2021 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & total	-33.5	59–6	W	O57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WMU W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0
OSU L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: WMU away, as underdog; OSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WMU U	0-1	0%	0-1
OSU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 196 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–58.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WMU	3-7 30%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
OSU	8-2 80%	5-4-1 56%	3-6 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WMU−10.3 →−10.7▼ 0.4#114

OSU+21.3 →+22.7▲ 1.4#3

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

WMU

Longer bar = better

OSU

#94

Offense

OSU better ▶

#37

#100

Defense

OSU better ▶

#32

−1.0 #96

Turnovers

OSU better ▶

+3.0 #7

52 plays #126

Pace

OSU faster ▶

64 plays #85

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WMU has the ball

Advantage: OSU defense

	WMU off	OSU def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #115	6.0 #30	OSU
Yards / play	5.02 #98	2.77 #11	OSU
PPA / play	+0.12 #84	−0.25 #26	OSU
Success rate	42% #79	36% #62	Even

When OSU has the ball

Advantage: OSU offense

	OSU off	WMU def	Edge
Points / game	52.0 #18	28.0 #100	OSU
Yards / play	6.31 #62	4.73 #66	Even
PPA / play	+0.39 #35	+0.20 #101	OSU
Success rate	54% #32	56% #132	OSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.