Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Charlotte
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
JMU 29–20 CLT
✓ JMU (77%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
James Madison have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 127 FBS teams
Longer bar = better
#71
Offense
◀ JMU better#116
#37
Defense
◀ JMU better#93
+1.0 #39
Turnovers
◀ JMU better−1.0 #104
58 plays #104
Pace
CLT faster ▶76 plays #22
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| JMU off | CLT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 30.0 #75 | 30.0 #99 | JMU |
| Yards / play | 7.12 #40 | 7.12 #112 | JMU |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #82 | +0.11 #83 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #85 | 41% #79 | Even |
| CLT off | JMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 7.0 #119 | 7.0 #36 | JMU |
| Yards / play | 4.26 #106 | 4.26 #51 | JMU |
| PPA / play | −0.20 #114 | −0.20 #38 | JMU |
| Success rate | 26% #123 | 26% #22 | JMU |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
79° · 4 mph
gusts 8 mph · at kickoff
Rest
JMU1st game
CLT1st game
Even
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

