Notre Dame @ Texas A&M: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Texas A&M

Weather at kickoff87°F12 mphgusts 20Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Notre Dame

0-0 · Power #4

▲ winner

Final

Texas A&M

0-0 · Power #19

final

Closing spread

TA&M -2.5

✓ ND W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 36 pts

Model before kickoff

ND 24–26 TA&M

✗ TA&M (54%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTA&M -1

CloseTA&M -2.5

Total48.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTA&M -1

1.5 → TA&M

CloseTA&M -2.5

1.5 pts toward Texas A&M

Total

Open48.5

▼ 2

Close46.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TA&M -1 · closed TA&M -2.5 · moved 1.5 toward TA&Mmodel ND -3

model ND -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 51% (105 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTA&M -1

CloseTA&M -2.5

Total48.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TA&M as a 2.5-point home favorite against ND, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ND won 23–13 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 36 points stayed under 46.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1.7 against an average line of 2.8; 47.7 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ISU vs IOWA 2021 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-4	17–27	L	U45
Very close	ORST vs UTAH 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & spread	-3.5	21–7	W	U44.5
Close	MIA vs LOU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar total & spread	-1	31–38	L	O46.5
Close	PITT vs CLEM 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar spread	-3.5	27–17	W	U47
Close	VT vs ND 2021 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & situation	-1	29–32	L	O47
Close	WISC vs MICH 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar spread	-2	17–38	L	O43.5
Close	WISC vs PUR 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar spread	-1.5	35–24	W	O51.5
Close	ISU vs BAY 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	24–31	L	O45
Close	NCST vs FSU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-3.5	19–17	L	U50.5
Close	WISC vs PSU 2021 · Week 1 · close · similar total & situation	-5.5	10–16	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found