Kennesaw State @ Wake Forest: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2025)

Fri, Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Wake Forest

Weather at kickoff76°F6 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Kennesaw State

0-0 · Power #97

final

Final

Wake Forest

0-0 · Power #53

▲ winner

Closing spread

WAKE -18.5

✓ KENN W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 19 pts

Model before kickoff

KENN 16–36 WAKE

✓ WAKE (92%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWAKE -17.5

CloseWAKE -18.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWAKE -17.5

1 → WAKE

CloseWAKE -18.5

1 pt toward Wake Forest

Total

Open51.5

no move

Close51.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WAKE -17.5 · closed WAKE -18.5 · moved 1 toward WAKEmodel WAKE -24

model WAKE -24

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 17.5–19.5 since 2023: won 97%, covered 52% (71 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (126 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWAKE -17.5

CloseWAKE -18.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WAKE as an 18.5-point home favorite against KENN, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: WAKE won 10–9; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 19 points stayed under 51.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

7 of 978%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 21.4 against an average line of 18.6; 60.8 points a game (usually 54.5). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	VAN vs HAW 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread	-17.75	35–28	L	O54.75
Very close	TROY vs USM 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & total	-17.5	52–20	W	O49
Close	WKU vs UTEP 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-19	44–17	W	O55.5
Close	JXST vs NMSU 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-21	54–13	W	O58.5
Close	FRES vs NMSU 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread	-20	48–0	W	U48.5
Close	CONN vs TEM 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & total	-17.5	29–20	L	P49
Close	ARST vs MASS 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total	-17.25	35–33	L	O49.5
Close	ECU vs NAVY 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar total & situation	-16.5	20–23	L	U48.5
Close	TOL vs EMU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar spread	-19.5	49–23	W	O45.5
Close	MSST vs MASS 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread	-19.5	45–20	W	O59

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found