Kennesaw State @ Indiana: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sat, Sep 6, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Indiana

Weather at kickoff66°F7 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Kennesaw State

0-1 · Power #97

final

Final

Indiana

1-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

IU -35.5

✓ IU W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 65 pts

Model before kickoff

KENN 5–41 IU

✓ IU (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenIU -35.5

CloseIU -35.5

Total50.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenIU -35.5

no move

CloseIU -35.5

No change since the open

Total

Open50.5

▲ 1

Close51.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened IU -35.5 · unchangedmodel IU -39.5

model IU -39.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 33.5–37.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 54% (62 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenIU -35.5

CloseIU -35.5

Total50.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 8 games most like IU as a 35.5-point home favorite against KENN, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: IU won 56–9; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 8 similar games. 65 points went over 51.5, as in 4 of 8.

Favorite won

8 of 8100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

4 of 757%

Normal range · usually 54%

Went over

4 of 850%

Normal range · usually 55%

Only 8 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 39.3 against an average line of 34.2; 53.3 points a game (usually 55.8). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 8 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TENN vs CONN 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-35.5	59–3	W	O55.5
Loose	MSU vs AKR 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & spread	-34.5	52–0	W	U56
Loose	MISS vs ULM 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & spread	-36	35–3	L	U60.5
Loose	TA&M vs ULM 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-36.5	47–3	W	U53.5
Loose	TA&M vs NMSU 2024 · Week 12 · loose	-38.5	38–3	L	U54.5
Loose	CLEM vs LT 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-33.5	48–20	L	O53.5
Loose	MSST vs BGSU 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & rest	-31	45–14	P	O53
Loose	PSU vs OHIO 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & total	-28	46–10	W	O55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENN W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0
IU L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: KENN away, as underdog; IU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN U	0-1	0%	0-1
IU U	0-1	0%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 454 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENN	2-8 20%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
IU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENN−24.1 →−20.8▲ 3.3#134

IU+13.4 →+12.7▼ 0.7#18

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

KENN

Longer bar = better

#121

Offense

IU better ▶

#64

#71

Defense

◀ KENN better

#89

0.0 #97

Turnovers

IU better ▶

+2.0 #23

76 plays #21

Pace

IU faster ▶

89 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENN has the ball

Advantage: IU defense

	KENN off	IU def	Edge
Points / game	9.0 #126	14.0 #60	IU
Yards / play	4.04 #117	6.98 #124	Even
PPA / play	−0.07 #116	+0.22 #106	Even
Success rate	30% #126	37% #66	IU

When IU has the ball

Even matchup

	IU off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #67	10.0 #47	Even
Yards / play	5.64 #70	4.64 #64	Even
PPA / play	+0.09 #84	+0.04 #75	Even
Success rate	53% #34	42% #96	IU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.