Kent State @ Texas Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sat, Sep 6, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Texas Tech

Weather at kickoff62°F4 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Kent State

1-0 · Power #132

final

Final

Texas Tech

1-0 · Power #5

▲ winner

Closing spread

TTU -47.5

✓ TTU W

Total

59.5

▲ Over · 76 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 6–53 TTU

✓ TTU (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTTU -48.5

CloseTTU -47.5

Total60.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTTU -48.5

1 → KENT

CloseTTU -47.5

1 pt toward Kent State

Total

Open60.5

▼ 1

Close59.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TTU -48.5 · closed TTU -47.5 · moved 1 toward KENTmodel TTU -40.5

model TTU -40.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (159 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTTU -48.5

CloseTTU -47.5

Total60.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 2 games most like TTU as a 47.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 2, covered 2, and 0 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TTU won 62–14; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 2 similar games. 76 points went over 59.5, as in 0 of 2.

Favorite won

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 57%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 67%

Only 2 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 54 against an average line of 45; 57 points a game (usually 63.6). When games like this go over ›

All 2 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	MICH vs CONN 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & total	-47.5	59–0	W	P59
Loose	MISS vs MTSU 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & total	-42.5	52–3	W	U61.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT –	0-0	—	—	—
TTU –	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; TTU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT –	0-0	—	1-0
TTU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 251 earlier overs in games with totals 55.5–63.5, 29% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	1-9 10%	3-5 38%	4-4 50%
TTU	6-4 60%	5-4 56%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−26.4 →−26.6▼ 0.2#136

TTU+5.6 →+6.4▲ 0.8#42

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

KENT

Longer bar = better

TTU

#90

Offense

TTU better ▶

#69

Defense

TTU better ▶

#13

−1.0 #99

Turnovers

TTU better ▶

+1.0 #51

56 plays #118

Pace

TTU faster ▶

61 plays #97

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: TTU defense

	KENT off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #86	7.0 #33	TTU
Yards / play	5.45 #78	2.97 #12	TTU
PPA / play	+0.09 #85	−0.57 #2	TTU
Success rate	36% #109	14% #4	TTU

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: TTU offense

	TTU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	67.0 #3	17.0 #71	TTU
Yards / play	9.97 #2	5.15 #90	TTU
PPA / play	+0.69 #3	+0.04 #73	TTU
Success rate	70% #2	32% #42	TTU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.