Delaware @ Colorado: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sat, Sep 6, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Colorado

Weather at kickoff75°F6 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Delaware

1-0 · Power #117

final

Final

Colorado

0-1 · Power #75

▲ winner

Closing spread

COLO -23.5

✓ COLO W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

DEL 15–41 COLO

✓ COLO (97%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCOLO -24.5

CloseCOLO -23.5

Total50.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCOLO -24.5

1 → DEL

CloseCOLO -23.5

1 pt toward Delaware

Total

Open50.5

▼ 1

Close49.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened COLO -24.5 · closed COLO -23.5 · moved 1 toward DELmodel COLO -35.5

model COLO -35.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 22.5–24.5 since 2023: won 95%, covered 43% (55 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (163 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCOLO -24.5

CloseCOLO -23.5

Total50.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like COLO as a 23.5-point home favorite against DEL, the favorite won 8, covered 2, and 9 went over the total.

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This game: COLO won 31–7; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 49.5, as in 1 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 44%

Went over

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 49%

Overs above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 11.4 against an average line of 23.7; 59.2 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	FLA vs USF 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & situation	-23.5	31–28	L	O58
Loose	MINN vs EMU 2023 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-19.5	25–6	L	U48
Loose	CLEM vs FAU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & total	-25	48–14	W	O51.5
Loose	ARK vs LT 2024 · Week 13 · loose · similar total & spread	-23.5	35–14	L	O48.5
Loose	PSU vs OHIO 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-28	46–10	W	O55
Loose	ND vs UNLV 2022 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & situation	-26	44–21	L	O46.5
Loose	MIA vs MTSU 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & spread	-25.5	31–45	L	O53.5
Loose	BYU vs WYO 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & total	-21.25	38–24	L	O49.75
Loose	LIB vs NMSU 2022 · Week 13 · loose · similar spread & total	-24	14–49	L	O50.5
Loose	MSST vs WMU 2023 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation & rest	-21	41–28	L	O55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL L	0-1	0%	—	—
COLO L	0-1	0%	0-1	—

Venue/role: DEL away, as underdog; COLO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL U	0-1	0%	1-0
COLO U	0-1	0%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 19 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 54% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DELlast 2	1-1 50%	0-2 0%	1-1 50%
COLO	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DEL−22.6 →−19.8▲ 2.8#131

COLO+9.6 →+6.3▼ 3.3#43

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

DEL

Longer bar = better

COLO

#42

Offense

◀ DEL better

#84

#89

Defense

◀ DEL better

#115

+1.0 #53

Turnovers

COLO better ▶

+3.0 #6

70 plays #52

Pace

◀ DEL faster

60 plays #101

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DEL has the ball

Advantage: DEL offense

	DEL off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #47	27.0 #103	DEL
Yards / play	6.11 #53	6.81 #123	DEL
PPA / play	+0.36 #37	+0.19 #104	DEL
Success rate	54% #29	59% #131	DEL

When COLO has the ball

Even matchup

	COLO off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #90	17.0 #80	Even
Yards / play	5.08 #85	5.21 #91	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #68	+0.12 #87	Even
Success rate	39% #91	44% #99	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.