Sat, Aug 30, 2025, 2:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Indiana
Weather at kickoff76°F5 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›
0-0 · Power #46
14
final
Final
@
0-0 · Power #1
27
▲ winner
Closing spread
IU -23.5
✓ ODU W
Total
53.5
▼ Under · 41 pts
Model before kickoff
ODU 16–40 IU
✓ IU (95%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenIU -23.5
CloseIU -23.5
Total54.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Down 1 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -23.5 · unchangedmodel IU -23.5 matches the line
Opened 54.5 · closed 53.5 · moved 1 downmodel 56
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 22.5–24.5 since 2023: won 94%, covered 45% (52 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenIU -23.5
CloseIU -23.5
Total54.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like IU as a 23.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by
Customize filters
Only include
Show up to
games
This game: IU won 27–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 53.5, as in 4 of 10.
Favorite won
9 of 1090%
Normal range · usually 91%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 45%
Went over
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 21.4 against an average line of 24.2; 56.6 points a game (usually 54.4). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & total
-2548–14 W O51.5
Very close
FLA vs USF
2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & spread
-23.531–28 L O58
Very close
2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & total
-2439–17 L O52.5
Very close
2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & total
-25.531–0 W U50
Very close
MIA vs MTSU
2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & total
-25.531–45 L O53.5
Very close
2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread
-2428–14 L U56.5
Very close
2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar team ratings & total
-21.562–17 W O52.5
Very close
2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread
-24.538–20 L O50
Very close
UTAH vs STAN
2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar team ratings & spread
-2442–7 W U54
Very close
2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings
-2440–14 W U58
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Old Dominion have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Loading play-by-play…

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
IU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
76° · 5 mph
gusts 13 mph · at kickoff
Rest
ODU1st game
IU1st game
Even

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week