Florida Atlantic @ Maryland: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2025)

Sat, Aug 30, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Maryland

Weather at kickoff71°F5 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

0-0 · Power #108

final

Final

Maryland

0-0 · Power #72

▲ winner

Closing spread

MD -13.5

✓ MD W

Total

59.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 21–35 MD

✓ MD (84%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMD -14.5

CloseMD -13.5

Total59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenMD -14.5

1 → FAU

CloseMD -13.5

1 pt toward Florida Atlantic

Total

Open59.5

no move

Close59.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened MD -14.5 · closed MD -13.5 · moved 1 toward FAUmodel MD -16

model MD -16

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 82%, covered 47% (87 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (151 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMD -14.5

CloseMD -13.5

Total59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MD as a 13.5-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: MD won 39–7; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 59.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 79%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 44%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.6 against an average line of 13.5; 69.8 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	COLO vs STAN 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & spread	-13	43–46	L	O59
Very close	USA vs LT 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & total	-13	38–14	W	U59
Very close	UL vs ARST 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & spread	-14	55–19	W	O60
Very close	CCU vs JXST 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	30–16	W	U61
Very close	LIB vs ODU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-13.5	38–10	W	U58.5
Very close	UL vs EMU 2022 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & total	-11	49–21	W	O56
Very close	WVU vs KU 2022 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-14	42–55	L	O59.75
Very close	APP vs USM 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & spread	-16	48–38	L	O55.5
Very close	SC vs JXST 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-15.5	38–28	L	O55
Very close	CCU vs ODU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-11.25	21–49	L	O58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found