Fri, Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site
Closing spread
APP -19.5
✓ APP W
Total
—
Model before kickoff
APP 38–21 CLT
✓ APP (89%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenAPP -6.5
CloseAPP -19.5
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -6.5
13 → APP
CloseAPP -19.5
13 pts toward App State
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -6.5 · closed APP -19.5 · moved 13 toward APPmodel APP -6
model APP -6
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 59% (37 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenAPP -6.5
CloseAPP -19.5
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 1 games most like 
APP as a 19.5-point neutral-site favorite against CLT, the favorite won 1, covered 0, and 1 went over the total.
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This game: APP won 34–11; the favorite covered, as in 0 of the 1 similar games.
Favorite won
1 of 1100%
Normal range · usually 90%
Favorite covered
0 of 10%
Normal range · usually 47%
Went over
1 of 1100%
Normal range · usually 50%
Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 17 against an average line of 19; 87 points a game (usually 54.5). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3.
All 1 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loose |
2024 · Postseason · loose · similar spread |
-19 | 52–35 | L | O58.5 |
SYR
WSUHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Slight App State ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Market moved toward App State
13 pts (APP -6.5 → APP -19.5), through the key number 7. · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Small sample warning
App State have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
80° · 1 mph
gusts 7 mph · at kickoff
Rest
APP1st game
CLT1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
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