UTSA @ Texas A&M: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2025)

Sat, Aug 30, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Texas A&M

Weather at kickoff92°F1 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

UTSA

0-0 · Power #65

final

Final

Texas A&M

0-0 · Power #10

▲ winner

Closing spread

TA&M -23.5

✓ UTSA W

Total

59.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

UTSA 16–39 TA&M

✓ TA&M (95%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTA&M -24.5

CloseTA&M -23.5

Total57.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTA&M -24.5

1 → UTSA

CloseTA&M -23.5

1 pt toward UTSA

Total

Open57.5

▲ 2

Close59.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TA&M -24.5 · closed TA&M -23.5 · moved 1 toward UTSAmodel TA&M -21

model TA&M -21

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 22.5–24.5 since 2023: won 94%, covered 44% (53 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (157 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTA&M -24.5

CloseTA&M -23.5

Total57.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TA&M as a 23.5-point home favorite against UTSA, the favorite won 9, covered 2, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: TA&M won 42–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 8 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 59.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.3 against an average line of 22.8; 53.5 points a game (usually 54.4). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UNC vs UVA 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread	-24	27–31	L	P58
Very close	FLA vs USF 2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & situation	-23.5	31–28	L	O58
Very close	CLEM vs WAKE 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar team ratings	-21	17–12	L	U53
Very close	CLEM vs UVA 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings	-20	48–31	L	O57.5
Close	WIS vs WMU 2024 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & spread	-24	28–14	L	U56.5
Close	MISS vs TLSA 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-21	35–27	L	U66.5
Close	MICH vs MSU 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar spread	-22.25	29–7	L	U55
Close	USC vs ASU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar spread	-24.5	42–25	L	O61
Close	CLEM vs STAN 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar team ratings & total	-24	40–14	W	U58
Close	UTAH vs STAN 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings	-24	42–7	W	U54

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found