Northwestern @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2025)

Sat, Aug 30, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Tulane

Weather at kickoff81°F6 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Northwestern

0-0 · Power #59

final

Final

Tulane

0-0 · Power #57

▲ winner

Closing spread

TULN -6.5

✓ TULN W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 26 pts

Model before kickoff

NU 21–28 TULN

✓ TULN (70%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -5.5

CloseTULN -6.5

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTULN -5.5

1 → TULN

CloseTULN -6.5

1 pt toward Tulane

Total

Open46.5

▼ 1

Close45.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TULN -5.5 · closed TULN -6.5 · moved 1 toward TULNmodel TULN -11

model TULN -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 70%, covered 57% (151 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (127 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -5.5

CloseTULN -6.5

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 6.5-point home favorite against NU, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 23–3; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 26 points stayed under 45.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 11.4 against an average line of 7.2; 56.2 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 7 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	VT vs BC 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-8.5	42–21	W	O47.5
Very close	NCSU vs NIU 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & situation	-7	24–17	P	U46.5
Very close	NCSU vs MRSH 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & spread	-6.5	48–41	W	O44
Very close	ASU vs WYO 2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & total	-6.5	48–7	W	O47.5
Very close	AUB vs MIZ 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	17–14	L	U51
Very close	ILL vs NU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread	-5.5	43–45	L	O46.75
Very close	MINN vs MSU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-6.5	27–12	W	U41
Very close	MD vs MSU 2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-8	24–27	L	O44.5
Very close	CAL vs NCSU 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-9.5	23–24	L	O46
Very close	SMU vs FSU 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & spread	-6	42–16	W	O46.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found