North Carolina @ Charlotte: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sat, Sep 6, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Charlotte

Weather at kickoff76°F3 mphgusts 15Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

North Carolina

0-1 · Power #89

▲ winner

Final

Charlotte

0-1 · Power #134

final

Closing spread

UNC -16.5

✓ UNC W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 23 pts

Model before kickoff

UNC 36–20 CLT

✓ UNC (87%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUNC -13.5

CloseUNC -16.5

Total47.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNC L	0-1	0%	—	—
CLT L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: UNC away, as favorite; CLT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNC O	1-0	100%	0-1
CLT –	0-0	—	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 30 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 54% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNC	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
CLT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-3 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UNC 1–0 CLT UNC leads · 1 game since 2023 · UNC has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 7 2024	Charlotte 20 @ North Carolina 38	UNC -21.5	CLT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UNC+2.3 →−1.7▼ 4.0#73

CLT−11.9 →−15.6▼ 3.7#126

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

UNC

Longer bar = better

CLT

#113

Offense

Even

#105

#130

Defense

Even

#116

−2.0 #122

Turnovers

Even

−1.0 #110

49 plays #133

Pace

Even

54 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNC has the ball

Even matchup

	UNC off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #111	34.0 #115	Even
Yards / play	4.53 #105	6.66 #119	Even
PPA / play	−0.06 #112	+0.23 #108	Even
Success rate	30% #125	55% #123	Even

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: CLT offense

	CLT off	UNC def	Edge
Points / game	11.0 #116	48.0 #132	Even
Yards / play	4.04 #118	7.53 #132	Even
PPA / play	+0.10 #80	+0.39 #125	CLT
Success rate	36% #105	58% #129	CLT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.