Sat, Aug 30, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Massachusetts
Closing spread
TEM -2.5
✓ TEM W
Total
48.5
▲ Over · 52 pts
Model before kickoff
TEM 26–25 MASS
✓ TEM (53%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTEM -2.5
CloseTEM -2.5
Total47.5 → 48.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEM -2.5
no move
CloseTEM -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open47.5
▲ 1
Close48.5
Up 1 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEM -2.5 · unchangedmodel MASS -4
model MASS -4
Opened 47.5 · closed 48.5 · moved 1 upmodel 51.5
model 51.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 55%, covered 46% (154 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTEM -2.5
CloseTEM -2.5
Total47.5 → 48.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
TEM as a 2.5-point road favorite at MASS, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 5 went over the total.
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This game: TEM won 42–10; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 52 points went over 48.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 56%
Favorite covered
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 46%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.7 against an average line of 2.8; 44.7 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 5 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread |
-3 | 28–7 | W | U49 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread |
-3 | 39–27 | W | O49.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & spread |
-1 | 41–30 | W | O48 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & total |
-2 | 38–21 | W | O45.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread |
-3 | 14–0 | W | U44.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total |
-3 | 38–14 | W | O45.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & team ratings |
-2 | 10–17 | L | U49 |
| Close |  USM @  ULM2022 · Week 13 · close · similar spread |
-3 | 20–10 | W | U50 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread |
-5 | 17–24 | L | U42 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total |
-3 | 27–25 | L | O50.5 |
NMSU
UTEP
CLT
FAU
BUFF
AKR
CSU
NEV
NAVY
M-OH
EMU
LT
FIU
CMU
BALL
OHIOHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Temple have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 374 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
 MASS | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
MASS +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
71° · 11 mph
gusts 22 mph · wind lowers scoring
Rest
TEM1st game
MASS1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
Templevs HOW →Massachusettsvs BRY →
BOIS @ 
USF
RUTG
ECU @ 
NCSU
WYO @ 
MINN
WIS
WMU @ 
MSU
APP vs 
SJSU
MD