UL Monroe @ Texas A&M: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sat, Sep 16, 2023, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Texas A&M

Weather at kickoff82°F4 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

UL Monroe

2-0 · Power #129

final

Final

Texas A&M

1-1 · Power #17

▲ winner

Closing spread

TA&M -36.5

✓ TA&M W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 50 pts

Model before kickoff

ULM 9–41 TA&M

✓ TA&M (99%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTA&M -36.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ULM WL	1-1	50%	—	1-0
TA&M WL	1-1	50%	1-0	1-1

Venue/role: ULM away, as underdog; TA&M home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ULM –U	0-1	0%	2-0
TA&M OO	2-0	100%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 14 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 55% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ULMlast 2	2-0 100%	1-1 50%	0-1 0%
TA&Mlast 2	1-1 50%	1-1 50%	2-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ULM+0.7 →−0.2▼ 0.9#70

TA&M+10.3 →+9.9▼ 0.4#15

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

ULM

Longer bar = better

TA&M

#99

Offense

TA&M better ▶

#46

#40

Defense

◀ ULM better

#98

+2.5 #6

Turnovers

◀ ULM better

−0.5 #100

63 plays #102

Pace

TA&M faster ▶

73 plays #29

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ULM has the ball

Even matchup

	ULM off	TA&M def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #113	29.0 #103	Even
Yards / play	5.46 #89	5.90 #106	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #95	+0.29 #124	ULM
Success rate	40% #97	38% #58	TA&M

When TA&M has the ball

Even matchup

	TA&M off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	42.5 #15	13.5 #25	Even
Yards / play	5.82 #69	4.76 #40	ULM
PPA / play	+0.27 #36	+0.01 #52	Even
Success rate	44% #63	36% #43	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 66 FBS teams

ULM scoring against the TA&M defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	3.5	8.5	12.0	0.0	8.5	8.5
TA&M allowed	3.5	10.5	14.0	6.5	8.5	15.0

TA&M scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TA&M scored	8.5	17.5	26.0	8.0	8.5	16.5
ULM allowed	0.0	5.0	5.0	0.0	8.5	8.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.