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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 3 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
47 finalFavorites 21-26 ATS15 upsetsO/U 25-22Model Favorite 33-14Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4747 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS21-2645% covered
Upsets15outright
Over / Under25-2253% over
Model Favorite33-1470% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up20 all 20 final
Over10 50%Under10 50%
Moved down16 all 16 final
Over10 63%Under6 38%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
18–2245%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
10–1148%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
7–654%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
1–150%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 11

1
Final · Conf
NC State
2-0 · #44
34
Wake Forest
2-0 · #53
24
Spread
NCSU -7.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼4
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
31–24
✓ NCSU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WAKE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Sep 12

3
Final · Conf
Colorado
1-1 · #75
20
Houston
2-0 · #49
36
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲2
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
20–23
✓ HOU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: COLO by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Kansas State
1-2 · #42
17
Arizona
2-0 · #26
23
Spread
KSU -1.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▼ Under 40
Projected
28–27
✗ KSU lost
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARIZ by 5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
1-1 · #81
35
UCLA
0-2 · #70
10
Spread
UCLA -15.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
21–37
✗ UCLA lost
Model: UCLA by 2 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Sep 13

43
Final · Conf
Oregon
2-0 · #4
34
Northwestern
1-1 · #59
14
Spread
ORE -24.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
37–12
✓ ORE won
Trend: NU ATS ✓ Model: ORE by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Clemson
1-1 · #34
21
Georgia Tech
2-0 · #39
24
Spread
CLEM -2.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▼ Under 45
Projected
28–27
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: GT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: GT by 3 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oklahoma
2-0 · #16
42
Temple
2-0 · #96
3
Spread
OU -24.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
36–13
✓ OU won
Model: TEM by 6 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Wisconsin
2-0 · #63
14
Alabama
1-1 · #11
38
Spread
ALA -18.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
15–33
✓ ALA won
Model: WIS by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
1-1 · #103
3
Michigan
1-1 · #21
63
Spread
MICH -27.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
8–36
✓ MICH won
Model: MICH by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Memphis
2-0 · #61
28
Troy
1-1 · #99
7
Spread
MEM -4.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 35
Projected
29–24
✓ MEM won
Trend: TROY ATS ✗ Model: MEM by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Buffalo
1-1 · #118
31
Kent State
1-1 · #132
28
Spread
BUFF -24.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
39–15
✓ BUFF won
Trend: BUFF ATS ✗ Model: KENT by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
South Alabama
1-1 · #102
15
Auburn
2-0 · #24
31
Spread
AUB -26.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▼ Under 46
Projected
15–40
✓ AUB won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: USA by 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana
1-1 · #114
10
Missouri
2-0 · #18
52
Spread
MIZ -27.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▲ Over 62 · Q2
Projected
11–38
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UConn
1-1 · #87
41
Delaware
1-1 · #117
44
Spread
CONN -9.5
✓ DEL W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 85 · Q2
Projected
32–22
✗ CONN lost
Model: CONN by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia
2-0 · #7
44
Tennessee
2-0 · #22
41
Spread
UGA -3.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 85 · Q3
Projected
29–26
✓ UGA won
Trend: TENN ATS ✓ Model: TENN by 3 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
0-2 · #100
14
Texas Tech
2-0 · #5
45
Spread
TTU -23.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▼ Under 59
Projected
18–41
✓ TTU won
Model: ORST by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Washington State
2-0 · #60
10
North Texas
2-0 · #38
59
Spread
UNT -6.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
26–33
✓ UNT won
Model: WSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
SMU
1-1 · #27
28
Missouri State
1-1 · #112
10
Spread
SMU -28.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼2
▼ Under 38
Projected
43–16
✓ SMU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MOST by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh
2-0 · #35
24
West Virginia
1-1 · #77
31
Spread
PITT -6.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▲ Over 55 · OT
Projected
30–25
✗ PITT lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WVU by 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Iowa State
3-0 · #36
24
Arkansas State
1-1 · #110
16
Spread
ISU -20.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
39–19
✓ ISU won
Model: ARST by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UTEP
1-1 · #131
10
Texas
1-1 · #14
27
Spread
TEX -40.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
3–44
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEX by 4 ✗ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
South Florida
2-0 · #29
12
Miami
2-0 · #6
49
Spread
MIA -17.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
20–38
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: USF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Liberty
1-1 · #104
13
Bowling Green
1-1 · #120
23
Spread
LIB -6.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
27–22
✗ LIB lost
Model: BGSU by 6 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Middle Tennessee
0-2 · #128
14
Nevada
1-1 · #121
13
Spread
NEV -9.5
✓ MTSU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▼ Under 27
Projected
22–32
✗ NEV lost
Trend: NEV ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: NEV by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
USC
2-0 · #12
33
Purdue
2-0 · #79
17
Spread
USC -20.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 50
Projected
40–19
✓ USC won
Model: USC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
1-1 · #78
9
Ohio State
2-0 · #2
37
Spread
OSU -28.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▼ Under 46
Projected
10–39
✓ OSU won
Trend: OHIO ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: OSU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Western Michigan
0-2 · #80
0
Illinois
2-0 · #30
38
Spread
ILL -27.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
13–40
✓ ILL won
Model: WMU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-0 · #40
35
Ole Miss
2-0 · #9
41
Spread
MISS -4.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
60.5
▲ Over 76 · Q3
Projected
27–33
✓ MISS won
Trend: ARK ATS ✗ Model: MISS by 7.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Old Dominion
1-1 · #46
45
Virginia Tech
0-2 · #73
26
Spread
VT -5.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
22–29
✗ VT lost
Model: VT by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville State
1-1 · #101
34
Georgia Southern
0-2 · #105
41
Spread
GASO -3.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
29–31
✓ GASO won
Model: JXST by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
App State
2-0 · #115
22
Southern Miss
1-1 · #98
38
Spread
APP -2.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲3
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
30–25
✗ APP lost
Trend: APP ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: APP by 9 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
1-1 · #37
10
LSU
2-0 · #31
20
Spread
LSU -5.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼3
▼ Under 30
Projected
23–28
✓ LSU won
Trend: FLA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: FLA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Texas A&M
2-0 · #10
41
Notre Dame
0-1 · #3
40
Spread
ND -7.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 81 · Q2
Projected
21–28
✗ ND lost
Trend: TA&M ATS ✓ Model: ND by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Eastern Michigan
0-2 · #123
23
Kentucky
1-1 · #52
48
Spread
UK -26.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
12–39
✓ UK won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: UK by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
0-2 · #136
7
Iowa
1-1 · #20
47
Spread
IOWA -35.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 54 · Q3
Projected
7–42
✓ IOWA won
Model: MASS by 3 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
2-0 · #129
14
Louisiana Tech
1-1 · #93
49
Spread
LT -10.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼4
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
16–27
✓ LT won
Trend: NMSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NMSU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
East Carolina
1-1 · #51
38
Coastal Carolina
1-1 · #122
0
Spread
ECU -7.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
29–22
✓ ECU won
Model: CCU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
2-0 · #13
31
South Carolina
2-0 · #43
7
Spread
SC -2.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
25–28
✗ SC lost
Trend: VAN ATS ✓ Model: SC by 4 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Utah
2-0 · #8
31
Wyoming
2-0 · #107
6
Spread
UTAH -24.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
33–9
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓ Model: WYO by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Duke
1-1 · #47
27
Tulane
2-0 · #57
34
Spread
DUKE -1.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
25–26
✓ TULN won
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗ Model: TULN by 12.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Navy
2-0 · #64
42
Tulsa
1-1 · #113
23
Spread
NAVY -13.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
34–20
✓ NAVY won
Model: NAVY by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
1-1 · #108
28
Florida International
1-1 · #109
38
Spread
FIU -1.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
25–27
✓ FIU won
Trend: FAU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: FIU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Akron
0-2 · #127
28
UAB
1-1 · #119
31
Spread
UAB -13.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲6
▼ Under 59
Projected
23–36
✓ UAB won
Trend: UAB ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: AKR by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Air Force
1-0 · #95
30
Utah State
1-1 · #86
49
Spread
AFA -3.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
28–25
✗ AFA lost
Model: USU by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota
2-0 · #69
14
California
2-0 · #76
27
Spread
MINN -3.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼4
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
21–18
✗ MINN lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CAL by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boston College
1-1 · #84
20
Stanford
0-2 · #85
30
Spread
BC -13.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▲ Over 50 · Q3
Projected
32–19
✗ BC lost
Trend: BC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: STAN by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Texas State
2-0 · #71
15
Arizona State
1-1 · #41
34
Spread
ASU -18.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲3
▼ Under 49
Projected
22–39
✓ ASU won
Trend: ASU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: TXST by 6.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total