Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2025)

Sat, Sep 13, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Virginia Tech

Weather at kickoff72°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

Old Dominion

1-1 · Power #46

▲ winner

Final

Virginia Tech

0-2 · Power #73

final

Closing spread

VT -5.5

✓ ODU W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 71 pts

Model before kickoff

ODU 22–29 VT

✗ VT (68%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenVT -6.5

CloseVT -5.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenVT -6.5

1 → ODU

CloseVT -5.5

1 pt toward Old Dominion

Total

Open51.5

▼ 1

Close50.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened VT -6.5 · closed VT -5.5 · moved 1 toward ODUmodel VT -10

model VT -10

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 59% (123 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (182 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenVT -6.5

CloseVT -5.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like VT as a 5.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ODU won 45–26 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 71 points went over 50.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 2.6 against an average line of 5.5; 49.4 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	NCSU vs NIU 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-7	24–17	P	U46.5
Close	SYR vs CONN 2025 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.25	27–20	L	U57.5
Close	FSU vs CAL 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-3	14–9	W	U44.5
Loose	CMU vs USA 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & spread	-6	24–38	L	O57.5
Loose	FSU vs MEM 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation	-7	12–20	L	U54.5
Loose	TOL vs WKU 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-8	45–21	W	O57
Loose	MTSU vs JXST 2023 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest & spread	-3	30–45	L	O52
Loose	VT vs VAN 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-2	20–44	L	O45.5
Loose	AUB vs WKU 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & spread	-5	41–17	W	O54
Loose	TULN vs NU 2025 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & spread	-6.5	23–3	W	U46

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU WW	2-0	100%	1-0	1-0
VT LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: ODU away, as underdog; VT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU UO	1-1	50%	1-1
VT UO	1-1	50%	0-2

Went over in Q4. Of 466 earlier overs in games with totals 46.5–54.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
VT	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ODU 3–5 VT VT leads · 8 games since 2017 · VT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 14 2024	Virginia Tech 37 @ Old Dominion 17	VT -15.5	VT W
Sep 2 2023	Old Dominion 17 @ Virginia Tech 36	VT -16	VT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU−5.3 →−3.7▲ 1.6#81

VT+6.8 →+1.9▼ 4.9#64

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

ODU

Longer bar = better

#29

Offense

◀ ODU better

#112

#65

Defense

◀ ODU better

#126

0.0 #84

Turnovers

◀ ODU better

−0.5 #103

54 plays #133

Pace

VT faster ▶

66 plays #79

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ODU offense

	ODU off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #51	34.0 #119	ODU
Yards / play	7.94 #11	7.24 #127	ODU
PPA / play	+0.44 #11	+0.41 #133	ODU
Success rate	47% #44	49% #125	ODU

When VT has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	VT off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #122	16.5 #56	ODU
Yards / play	4.42 #123	4.80 #66	ODU
PPA / play	+0.04 #108	−0.07 #33	ODU
Success rate	40% #93	43% #104	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 74 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the VT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	8.0	3.5	11.5	14.0	8.5	22.5
VT allowed	3.5	6.5	10.0	6.5	17.5	24.0

VT scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
VT scored	6.0	8.0	14.0	0.0	1.5	1.5
ODU allowed	3.5	6.5	10.0	6.5	0.0	6.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.