Clemson @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2025)

Sat, Sep 13, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff80°F4 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Clemson

1-1 · Power #34

final

Final

Georgia Tech

2-0 · Power #39

▲ winner

Closing spread

CLEM -2.5

✓ GT W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

CLEM 28–27 GT

✗ CLEM (55%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCLEM -6.5

CloseCLEM -2.5

Total52.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCLEM -6.5

4 → GT

CloseCLEM -2.5

4 pts toward Georgia Tech

Total

Open52.5

▼ 3

Close49.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CLEM -6.5 · closed CLEM -2.5 · moved 4 toward GTmodel GT -0.5

model GT -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 54%, covered 46% (164 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 45% (67 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCLEM -6.5

CloseCLEM -2.5

Total52.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 2.5-point road favorite at GT, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: GT won 24–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 49.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.6 against an average line of 3.9; 54.2 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	CLEM @ MIA 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar situation	-6	20–28	L	O45
Close	ALA @ TA&M 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	26–20	W	O45.5
Loose	WVU @ VT 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar total & situation	-2	33–10	W	U49.75
Loose	LSU @ SC 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & total	-6.5	36–33	L	O48.5
Loose	PSU @ AUB 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-2.5	41–12	W	O47.5
Loose	KSU @ COLO 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar situation & spread	-3.5	31–28	L	O55
Loose	WVU @ PITT 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & spread	-2	34–38	L	O61.5
Loose	CLEM @ SYR 2023 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest	-7	31–14	W	U53
Loose	TA&M @ SC 2022 · Week 8 · loose · similar situation	-3	24–30	L	O44.5
Loose	TA&M @ FLA 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-3.5	33–20	W	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLEM LL	0-2	0%	—	0-2
GT WW	2-0	100%	1-0	—

Venue/role: CLEM away, as favorite; GT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLEM UU	0-2	0%	1-1
GT UO	1-1	50%	2-0

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 18. 54% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLEM	6-4 60%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
GT	6-4 60%	5-4 56%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CLEM 1–0 GT CLEM leads · 1 game since 2023 · CLEM has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 11 2023	Georgia Tech 21 @ Clemson 42	CLEM -14.5	CLEM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLEM+15.2 →+13.2▼ 2.0#17

GT+6.9 →+11.3▲ 4.4#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

CLEM

Longer bar = better

#108

Offense

GT better ▶

#22

#59

Defense

Even

#56

+1.0 #43

Turnovers

◀ CLEM better

−2.0 #130

57 plays #129

Pace

GT faster ▶

63 plays #101

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLEM has the ball

Advantage: GT defense

	CLEM off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	18.5 #110	16.0 #54	GT
Yards / play	5.11 #98	4.61 #56	GT
PPA / play	−0.04 #121	+0.05 #75	GT
Success rate	39% #102	35% #40	GT

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	43.0 #27	16.5 #57	GT
Yards / play	9.14 #2	4.94 #71	GT
PPA / play	+0.26 #44	−0.05 #40	Even
Success rate	56% #16	38% #67	GT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 17 FBS teams

CLEM scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	1.5	5.0	6.5	8.5	3.5	12.0
GT allowed	6.5	1.5	8.0	1.5	6.5	8.0

GT scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	3.5	17.0	20.5	10.5	12.0	22.5
CLEM allowed	3.5	6.0	9.5	3.5	3.5	7.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.