Sat, Sep 13, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Temple
Weather at kickoff78°F3 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›
2-0 · Power #16
42
▲ winner
Final
@
2-0 · Power #96
3
final
Closing spread
OU -24.5
✓ OU W
Total
51.5
▼ Under · 45 pts
Model before kickoff
OU 36–13 TEM
✓ OU (95%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenOU -25.5
CloseOU -24.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward Temple
Total
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OU -25.5 · closed OU -24.5 · moved 1 toward TEMmodel OU -18.5
Opened 51.5 · unchangedmodel 49
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (173 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenOU -25.5
CloseOU -24.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for OU as a 24.5-point road favorite at TEM. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Oklahoma have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
OU+11.4 →+12.8▲ 1.4#19
TEM−16.1 →−6.8▲ 9.3#96
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

OU
Longer bar = better
TEM
#46
Offense
TEM better ▶
#10
#21
Defense
Even
#33
−2.0 #131
Turnovers
TEM better ▶
+1.5 #21
72 plays #32
Pace
◀ OU faster
66 plays #71
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When OU has the ball
Even matchup
OU offTEM defEdge
Points / game 29.5 #62 8.5 #17 TEM
Yards / play 6.31 #52 3.85 #20 TEM
PPA / play +0.29 #34 −0.04 #45 Even
Success rate 49% #37 36% #48 Even
When TEM has the ball
Even matchup
TEM offOU defEdge
Points / game 48.5 #14 8.0 #10 Even
Yards / play 7.78 #15 4.30 #40 TEM
PPA / play +0.63 #4 −0.09 #28 TEM
Success rate 61% #5 25% #6 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 17 FBS teams
OU scoring against the TEM defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
OU scored
7.0
10.5
17.5
3.5
8.5
12.0
TEM allowed
5.0
3.5
8.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
TEM scoring against the OU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TEM scored
14.0
15.5
29.5
7.0
12.0
19.0
OU allowed
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.0
0.0
8.0

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
TEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
78° · 3 mph
gusts 12 mph · at kickoff
Rest
OU7d
TEM7d
Even
Tempo
Average 138 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

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