East Carolina @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2025)

Sat, Sep 13, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Coastal Carolina

Weather at kickoff73°F7 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

East Carolina

1-1 · Power #51

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

1-1 · Power #122

final

Closing spread

ECU -7.5

✓ ECU W

Total

56.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

ECU 29–22 CCU

✓ ECU (70%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenECU -6.5

CloseECU -7.5

Total55.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenECU -6.5

1 → ECU

CloseECU -7.5

1 pt toward East Carolina

Total

Open55.5

▲ 1

Close56.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ECU -6.5 · closed ECU -7.5 · moved 1 toward ECUmodel ECU -6.5

model ECU -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 68%, covered 55% (106 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 63% (43 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenECU -6.5

CloseECU -7.5

Total55.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ECU as a 7.5-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: ECU won 38–0; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 56.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

7 of 978%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.3 against an average line of 6.8; 66.7 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TXST @ USM 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	50–36	W	O60.5
Close	TULN @ USF 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-12	45–31	W	O55
Close	CONN @ UAB 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	31–23	W	P54
Close	DUKE @ GT 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	20–23	L	U54
Close	NAVY @ USF 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & total	-4.5	28–7	W	U58.5
Close	TOL @ NIU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	52–32	W	O59
Close	MEM @ UTSA 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-7	36–44	L	O61.5
Close	VAN @ GAST 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & situation	-9	32–36	L	O45.5
Close	ODU @ ARST 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & total	-5.5	40–32	W	O58.5
Close	UL @ ODU 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & situation	-6	31–38	L	O51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ECU WW	2-0	100%	1-0	1-0
CCU LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: ECU away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ECU UO	1-1	50%	1-1
CCU OU	1-1	50%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 40 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 52% of games with totals 52.5–60.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ECU	6-4 60%	7-2 78%	7-3 70%
CCU	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ECU−5.0 →−3.1▲ 1.9#79

CCU−6.6 →−11.1▼ 4.5#111

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

ECU

Longer bar = better

CCU

#58

Offense

◀ ECU better

#118

#51

Defense

◀ ECU better

#80

+1.5 #20

Turnovers

◀ ECU better

−2.5 #134

78 plays #8

Pace

◀ ECU faster

73 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ECU has the ball

Advantage: ECU offense

	ECU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	36.5 #42	24.0 #89	ECU
Yards / play	6.12 #62	4.78 #64	Even
PPA / play	+0.25 #45	+0.08 #86	ECU
Success rate	42% #84	41% #81	Even

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: ECU defense

	CCU off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #132	13.5 #41	ECU
Yards / play	4.40 #125	4.32 #42	ECU
PPA / play	−0.01 #117	+0.06 #78	ECU
Success rate	40% #97	35% #44	ECU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 88 FBS teams

ECU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	7.0	14.0	21.0	7.0	8.5	15.5
CCU allowed	3.5	10.5	14.0	7.0	3.0	10.0

CCU scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	0.0	1.5	1.5	3.5	5.0	8.5
ECU allowed	1.5	8.5	10.0	3.5	0.0	3.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.