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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 10 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 10: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
52 finalFavorites 26-26 ATS17 upsetsO/U 24-28Model Favorite 35-17Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5252 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS26-2650% covered
Upsets17outright
Over / Under24-2846% over
Model Favorite35-1767% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up16 all 16 final
Over8 50%Under8 50%
Moved down29 all 29 final
Over12 41%Under17 59%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
19–1654%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
9–660%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–357%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
1–150%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Oct 28

2
Final · Conf
UTEP
2-5 · #131
20
Kennesaw State
5-2 · #97
33
Spread
KENN -12.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲5
▼ Under 53
Projected
18–30
✓ KENN won
Trend: KENN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UTEP by 2 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
James Madison
6-1 · #28
52
Texas State
3-4 · #71
20
Spread
JMU -7.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼4
▲ Over 72 · Q3
Projected
30–24
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TXST by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Oct 29

2
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
4-3 · #101
24
Middle Tennessee
1-6 · #128
21
Spread
JXST -4.5
✓ MTSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
30–25
✓ JXST won
Trend: MTSU ATS ✓ Model: JXST by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida International
3-4 · #109
21
Missouri State
4-3 · #112
28
Spread
MOST -3.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 49
Projected
21–25
✓ MOST won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MOST by 2 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Oct 30

2
Final · Conf
Marshall
4-3 · #88
27
Coastal Carolina
4-3 · #122
44
Spread
MRSH -7.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
29–22
✗ MRSH lost
Trend: MRSH ATS ✗ Model: CCU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tulane
6-1 · #57
26
UTSA
3-4 · #65
48
Spread
TULN -5.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
30–25
✗ TULN lost
Model: UTSA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Oct 31

3
Final · Conf
Memphis
7-1 · #61
38
Rice
4-4 · #126
14
Spread
MEM -13.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼6
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
31–17
✓ MEM won
Trend: MEM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MEM by 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Carolina
2-5 · #89
27
Syracuse
3-5 · #92
10
Spread
SYR -1.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–26
✗ SYR lost
Trend: UNC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: SYR by 6 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
0-7 · #135
14
Louisiana Tech
4-3 · #93
55
Spread
LT -16.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
15–31
✓ LT won
Trend: LT ATS ✓ Model: SHSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Nov 1

43
Final · Conf
Penn State
3-4 · #17
14
Ohio State
7-0 · #2
38
Spread
OSU -17.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
16–34
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: OSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
7-1 · #13
31
Texas
6-2 · #14
34
Spread
TEX -3.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✓ TEX won
Trend: VAN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: TEX by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Miami
6-1 · #6
20
SMU
5-3 · #27
26
Spread
MIA -6.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▼ Under 46
Projected
30–22
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
West Virginia
2-6 · #77
45
Houston
7-1 · #49
35
Spread
HOU -12.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
18–30
✗ HOU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: WVU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rutgers
4-4 · #62
13
Illinois
5-3 · #30
35
Spread
ILL -12.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
63.5 ▲1
▼ Under 48
Projected
25–37
✓ ILL won
Trend: ILL ATS ✓ Model: RUTG by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Duke
4-3 · #47
46
Clemson
3-4 · #34
45
Spread
CLEM -4.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▲ Over 91 · Q2
Projected
25–30
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: DUKE ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: CLEM by 0 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCF
4-3 · #66
3
Baylor
4-4 · #50
30
Spread
BAY -3.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼2
▼ Under 33
Projected
28–32
✓ BAY won
Trend: UCF ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: UCF by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UAB
3-4 · #119
19
UConn
5-3 · #87
38
Spread
CONN -10.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼3
▼ Under 57
Projected
25–36
✓ CONN won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CONN by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Army
3-4 · #83
20
Air Force
2-5 · #95
17
Spread
ARMY -1.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
28–28
✓ ARMY won
Model: AFA by 5 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Navy
7-0 · #64
17
North Texas
7-1 · #38
31
Spread
UNT -6.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
68.5 ▲5
▼ Under 48
Projected
29–36
✓ UNT won
Trend: UNT ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UNT by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Buffalo
4-4 · #118
28
Bowling Green
3-5 · #120
3
Spread
BGSU -2.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 31
Projected
20–23
✗ BGSU lost
Model: BGSU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arizona State
5-3 · #41
24
Iowa State
5-3 · #36
19
Spread
ISU -8.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 43
Projected
20–27
✗ ISU lost
Trend: ISU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ASU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
East Carolina
4-3 · #51
45
Temple
5-3 · #96
14
Spread
ECU -5.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
29–24
✓ ECU won
Trend: TEM ATS ✗ Model: ECU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisville
6-1 · #25
28
Virginia Tech
3-5 · #73
16
Spread
LOU -10.5
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▼ Under 44
Projected
32–21
✓ LOU won
Model: LOU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
New Mexico
5-3 · #81
40
UNLV
6-1 · #74
35
Spread
UNLV -4.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼2
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
29–34
✗ UNLV lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNLV by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Indiana
8-0 · #1
55
Maryland
4-3 · #72
10
Spread
IU -21.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
35–14
✓ IU won
Trend: MD ATS ✗ Model: MD by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Neutral
Georgia
6-1 · #7
24
Florida
3-4 · #37
20
Spread
UGA -6.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
28–21
✓ UGA won
Trend: UGA ATS ✗ Model: UGA by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
5-2 · #3
25
Boston College
1-7 · #84
10
Spread
ND -30.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼3
▼ Under 35
Projected
42–12
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BC by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
7-1 · #5
43
Kansas State
4-4 · #42
20
Spread
TTU -7.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
30–23
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TTU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-5 · #67
20
Minnesota
5-3 · #69
23
Spread
MINN -5.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
20–26
✓ MINN won
Trend: MSU ATS ✓ Model: MINN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Pittsburgh
6-2 · #35
35
Stanford
3-5 · #85
20
Spread
PITT -13.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
32–18
✓ PITT won
Trend: PITT ATS ✓ Model: STAN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Delaware
4-3 · #117
30
Liberty
3-4 · #104
59
Spread
LIB -3.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 89 · Q3
Projected
24–28
✓ LIB won
Trend: DEL ATS ✗ Model: LIB by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
3-4 · #129
16
Western Kentucky
6-2 · #94
35
Spread
WKU -7.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
24–32
✓ WKU won
Trend: WKU ATS ✓ Model: WKU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Fresno State
5-3 · #82
30
Boise State
6-2 · #55
7
Spread
BOIS -17.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼4
▼ Under 37
Projected
14–33
✗ BOIS lost
Trend: BOIS ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BOIS by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
5-3 · #46
31
UL Monroe
3-5 · #130
6
Spread
ODU -16.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▼ Under 37
Projected
35–19
✓ ODU won
Trend: ODU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ODU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisiana
2-6 · #114
31
South Alabama
2-6 · #102
22
Spread
USA -3.5
✓ UL W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
25–29
✗ USA lost
Trend: UL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: USA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia
7-1 · #32
31
California
5-3 · #76
21
Spread
UVA -5.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▼ Under 52
Projected
30–24
✓ UVA won
Trend: UVA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: UVA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
4-4 · #56
38
Arkansas
2-6 · #40
35
Spread
ARK -5.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
66.5 ▼1
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
29–34
✗ ARK lost
Trend: MSST ATS ✓ Model: MSST by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
1-7 · #111
21
Kansas
4-4 · #54
38
Spread
KU -24.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
15–39
✓ KU won
Trend: KU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: KU by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
5-3 · #103
21
Western Michigan
4-4 · #80
24
Spread
WMU -5.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲2
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
18–24
✓ WMU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: WMU by 0 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Carolina
3-5 · #43
14
Ole Miss
7-1 · #9
30
Spread
MISS -13.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲3
▼ Under 44
Projected
20–34
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: MISS by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Purdue
2-6 · #79
16
Michigan
6-2 · #21
21
Spread
MICH -22.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
13–36
✓ MICH won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: PUR by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arizona
4-3 · #26
52
Colorado
3-5 · #75
17
Spread
ARIZ -3.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
27–24
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: COLO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: COLO by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wyoming
4-4 · #107
7
San Diego State
6-1 · #68
24
Spread
SDSU -10.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 31
Projected
15–26
✓ SDSU won
Trend: SDSU ATS ✓ Model: SDSU by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
8-0 · #39
36
NC State
4-4 · #44
48
Spread
GT -4.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 84 · Q3
Projected
32–27
✗ GT lost
Trend: GT ATS ✗ Model: GT by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
6-2 · #16
33
Tennessee
6-2 · #22
27
Spread
TENN -2.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
27–29
✗ TENN lost
Model: TENN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
USC
5-2 · #12
21
Nebraska
6-2 · #45
17
Spread
USC -4.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
32–28
✓ USC won
Model: USC by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kentucky
2-5 · #52
10
Auburn
4-4 · #24
3
Spread
AUB -11.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 13
Projected
17–29
✗ AUB lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: AUB by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington State
4-4 · #60
7
Oregon State
1-7 · #100
10
Spread
WSU -3.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▼ Under 17
Projected
27–24
✗ WSU lost
Trend: WSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: WSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
5-2 · #53
7
Florida State
3-4 · #23
42
Spread
FSU -12.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 49
Projected
19–32
✓ FSU won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: FSU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
4-4 · #110
23
Troy
6-2 · #99
10
Spread
TROY -7.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
22–30
✗ TROY lost
Trend: TROY ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TROY by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
7-1 · #58
14
Utah
6-2 · #8
45
Spread
UTAH -9.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
22–33
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓ Model: UTAH by 8.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
6-2 · #90
38
San José State
2-5 · #106
45
Spread
SJSU -2.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
26–29
✓ SJSU won
Trend: HAW ATS ✗ Model: SJSU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total