Washington State @ Oregon State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sat, Nov 1, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Oregon State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff56°F6 mphgusts 11Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Washington State

4-4 · Power #60

final

Final

Oregon State

1-7 · Power #100

▲ winner

Closing spread

WSU -3.5

✓ ORST W

Total

47.5

▼ Under · 17 pts

Model before kickoff

WSU 27–24 ORST

✗ WSU (61%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -3.5

CloseWSU -3.5

Total49.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWSU -3.5

no move

CloseWSU -3.5

No change since the open

Total

Open49.5

▼ 2

Close47.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WSU -3.5 · unchangedmodel WSU -5

model WSU -5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (197 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -3.5

CloseWSU -3.5

Total49.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WSU as a 3.5-point road favorite at ORST, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ORST won 10–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 17 points stayed under 47.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.2 against an average line of 3.4; 49 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SC @ VAN 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	38–27	W	O49
Very close	USM @ ULM 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	20–10	W	U50
Very close	FAU @ UTEP 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	21–24	L	U50.75
Very close	WVU @ HOU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	39–41	L	O49.5
Very close	BGSU @ WMU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	34–10	W	U51.5
Very close	TROY @ ULM 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & spread	-4.5	37–14	W	O45.5
Very close	EMU @ AKR 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	21–25	L	U50.5
Very close	NCSU @ WAKE 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2	26–6	W	U43
Very close	DUKE @ WAKE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	23–17	W	U53
Very close	DUKE @ UVA 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	27–30	L	O47

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU LWWWW	5-3	63%	3-1	1-1
ORST WWLLW	3-5	38%	2-3	2-4

Venue/role: WSU away, as favorite; ORST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU OUUUU	3-5	38%	4-4
ORST UOUOO	5-3	63%	1-7

Stayed under: it needed 38 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 53% of games with totals 43.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
ORST	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

WSU 56–45 ORST (3 tied) WSU leads · 104 games since 1916 · ORST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2024	Washington State 38 @ Oregon State 41	WSU -10.5	ORST W
Sep 23 2023	Oregon State 35 @ Washington State 38	ORST -3	WSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WSU−2.0 →−1.3▲ 0.7#71

ORST−5.2 →−8.0▼ 2.8#98

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

WSU

Longer bar = better

ORST

#107

Offense

ORST better ▶

#89

#75

Defense

◀ WSU better

#100

−1.0 #131

Turnovers

Even

−1.1 #133

64 plays #111

Pace

ORST faster ▶

70 plays #35

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WSU has the ball

Even matchup

	WSU off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	21.5 #111	32.8 #122	Even
Yards / play	4.95 #119	6.34 #125	Even
PPA / play	+0.02 #119	+0.20 #118	Even
Success rate	42% #79	39% #36	ORST

When ORST has the ball

Even matchup

	ORST off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	21.1 #112	24.6 #73	WSU
Yards / play	5.29 #99	5.40 #66	WSU
PPA / play	+0.07 #99	+0.07 #57	WSU
Success rate	45% #45	44% #103	ORST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

WSU scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	4.3 #108	8.8 #68	13.0 #90	4.6 #98	3.9 #123	8.5 #124
ORST allowed	9.6 #129	9.3 #105	18.9 #129	5.5 #71	8.0 #108	13.5 #98

ORST scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	2.9 #128	5.0 #120	7.9 #128	5.4 #85	7.9 #46	13.3 #63
WSU allowed	5.6 #78	6.9 #65	12.5 #71	4.1 #42	8.0 #108	12.1 #78

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.