Louisiana Tech @ Washington State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sat, Nov 15, 2025, 10:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Washington State

Weather at kickoff49°F8 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Louisiana Tech

5-4 · Power #93

final

Final

Washington State

4-5 · Power #60

▲ winner

Closing spread

WSU -10.5

✓ WSU W

Total

43.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

LT 16–27 WSU

✓ WSU (77%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -6.5

CloseWSU -10.5

Total47.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWSU -6.5

4 → WSU

CloseWSU -10.5

4 pts toward Washington State

Total

Open47.5

▼ 4

Close43.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WSU -6.5 · closed WSU -10.5 · moved 4 toward WSUmodel WSU -10.5 matches the line

model WSU -10.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 42% (136 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 56% (85 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -6.5

CloseWSU -10.5

Total47.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WSU as a 10.5-point home favorite against LT, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: WSU won 28–3; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 43.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.1 against an average line of 10.4; 42.9 points a game (usually 54). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	MRSH vs UL 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-10.5	13–23	L	U45
Close	WVU vs BYU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & situation	-12.5	37–7	W	U48.5
Close	BOIS vs FRES 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-10.5	40–20	W	O45
Close	VT vs BC 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form	-8.5	42–21	W	O47.5
Close	USA vs MRSH 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & total	-10	28–0	W	U45
Close	ARMY vs TEM 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-7	14–13	L	U45.5
Loose	ECU vs ODU 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar season form	-13	39–21	W	O49.75
Loose	FRES vs HAW 2024 · Week 10 · loose · similar total & situation	-12.5	20–21	L	U45.5
Loose	TROY vs USM 2022 · Week 6 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-7	27–10	W	U44
Loose	NIU vs EMU 2023 · Week 8 · loose	-12	20–13	L	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT WLLWL	6-3	67%	2-2	1-0
WSU WWWWL	5-4	56%	2-2	1-2

Venue/role: LT away, as underdog; WSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT UUOOU	3-6	33%	5-4
WSU UUUUU	3-6	33%	4-5

Stayed under: it needed 27 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 55% of games with totals 39.5–47.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%
WSU	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−11.6 →−6.9▲ 4.7#95

WSU−2.0 →−1.8▲ 0.2#72

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

Longer bar = better

WSU

#77

Offense

◀ LT better

#112

#28

Defense

◀ LT better

#60

+0.7 #22

Turnovers

◀ LT better

−1.1 #135

66 plays #74

Pace

◀ LT faster

63 plays #116

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Even matchup

	LT off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	28.1 #67	23.0 #54	Even
Yards / play	5.54 #81	5.16 #41	WSU
PPA / play	+0.09 #81	+0.06 #51	WSU
Success rate	42% #80	44% #95	Even

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	WSU off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	19.9 #121	18.9 #19	LT
Yards / play	4.92 #121	5.28 #52	LT
PPA / play	−0.01 #122	−0.02 #20	LT
Success rate	42% #85	37% #19	LT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

LT scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	7.7 #30	5.1 #119	12.8 #91	5.0 #86	9.6 #19	14.6 #47
WSU allowed	5.0 #60	6.4 #44	11.4 #49	3.7 #25	7.9 #109	11.6 #64

WSU scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	3.8 #119	8.6 #71	12.3 #93	4.1 #111	3.4 #129	7.6 #129
LT allowed	3.3 #29	5.2 #23	8.6 #15	4.2 #39	5.2 #41	9.4 #30

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.