Temple @ Army: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2025)

Sat, Nov 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Army · Conference game

Weather at kickoff59°F8 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Temple

5-4 · Power #96

final

Final

Army

4-4 · Power #83

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARMY -7.5

✓ TEM W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 27 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 20–27 ARMY

✓ ARMY (70%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARMY -5.5

CloseARMY -7.5

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARMY -5.5

2 → ARMY

CloseARMY -7.5

2 pts toward Army

Total

Open46.5

▼ 1

Close45.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARMY -5.5 · closed ARMY -7.5 · moved 2 toward ARMYmodel ARMY -6.5

model ARMY -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 57% (178 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 59% (75 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARMY -5.5

CloseARMY -7.5

Total46.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARMY as a 7.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: ARMY won 14–13; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 27 points stayed under 45.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.5 against an average line of 6.7; 42.9 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WYO vs CSU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-5.5	28–0	W	U46.5
Very close	TROY vs CCU 2022 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	45–26	W	O49
Very close	MRSH vs GAST 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	28–23	L	O45.5
Very close	ILL vs NU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-5.5	43–45	L	O46.75
Very close	TROY vs ARMY 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-8.5	10–9	L	U45.5
Very close	TROY vs USM 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & season form	-7	27–10	W	U44
Very close	TXST vs ARST 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6	16–13	L	U50
Very close	SHSU vs LT 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	9–3	L	U45.5
Very close	LT vs WKU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & spread	-5	27–28	L	O49.5
Very close	WYO vs CSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-6	24–15	W	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM WWWLL	6-3	67%	3-1	3-2
ARMY LWLWW	4-4	50%	0-3	2-2

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; ARMY home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM UOOOO	7-2	78%	5-4
ARMY UUUUU	2-6	25%	4-4

Stayed under: it needed 19 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 54% of games with totals 41.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
ARMY	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TEM 0–1 ARMY ARMY leads · 1 game since 2023 · ARMY has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 26 2024	Army 42 @ Temple 14	ARMY -21.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−16.1 →−8.0▲ 8.1#99

ARMY−9.7 →−4.4▲ 5.3#82

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

TEM

Longer bar = better

ARMY

#47

Offense

◀ TEM better

#96

#107

Defense

ARMY better ▶

#80

+1.2 #5

Turnovers

◀ TEM better

+0.4 #44

64 plays #106

Pace

ARMY faster ▶

72 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	31.4 #51	23.1 #58	Even
Yards / play	5.81 #60	5.49 #73	Even
PPA / play	+0.21 #33	+0.11 #81	TEM
Success rate	45% #42	44% #106	TEM

When ARMY has the ball

Even matchup

	ARMY off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	23.4 #99	28.1 #96	Even
Yards / play	4.92 #121	5.99 #107	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #93	+0.18 #107	Even
Success rate	43% #72	45% #117	ARMY

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	6.6 #60	9.6 #53	16.1 #56	9.3 #14	5.2 #102	14.6 #43
ARMY allowed	6.4 #93	4.3 #12	10.6 #40	4.0 #37	6.9 #83	10.9 #52

ARMY scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	3.5 #121	6.3 #106	9.8 #117	6.0 #71	7.3 #59	13.3 #63
TEM allowed	8.9 #128	6.6 #55	15.4 #98	7.8 #119	4.2 #21	12.0 #71

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.