UAB @ Rice: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2025)

Sat, Nov 8, 2025, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Rice · Conference game

Weather at kickoff85°F6 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

UAB

3-5 · Power #119

final

Final

Rice

4-5 · Power #126

▲ winner

Closing spread

RICE -1.5

✓ RICE W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

UAB 26–27 RICE

✓ RICE (55%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenRICE -3.5

CloseRICE -1.5

Total54.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenRICE -3.5

2 → UAB

CloseRICE -1.5

2 pts toward UAB

Total

Open54.5

▼ 3

Close51.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened RICE -3.5 · closed RICE -1.5 · moved 2 toward UABmodel RICE -2

model RICE -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 51%, covered 48% (176 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 46% (99 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenRICE -3.5

CloseRICE -1.5

Total54.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like RICE as a 1.5-point home favorite against UAB, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: RICE won 24–17; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 51.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.1 against an average line of 2; 50.3 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ULM vs ARST 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & season form	-1	24–34	L	O55.5
Very close	ULM vs ARST 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-1.5	28–16	W	U55.5
Very close	USA vs UL 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	22–31	L	O52.5
Very close	UTEP vs MTSU 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2	13–20	L	U48.5
Very close	MRSH vs ARST 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-1.5	35–21	W	O52.5
Very close	MOST vs FIU 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-3	28–21	W	U50
Very close	ODU vs GAST 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-2	25–24	L	U50
Very close	EMU vs BUFF 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-1	20–37	L	O53.5
Close	WMU vs BALL 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-1.5	42–24	W	O50.5
Close	BUFF vs BGSU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & season form	-3	14–24	L	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UAB WLLWL	3-5	38%	2-2	3-3
RICE WLLWL	4-5	44%	1-4	1-2

Venue/role: UAB away, as underdog; RICE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB OUOUU	4-4	50%	3-5
RICE UUOOO	6-3	67%	4-5

Stayed under: it needed 11 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 54% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UAB	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
RICE	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UAB 1–0 RICE UAB leads · 1 game since 2023 · UAB has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2024	Rice 14 @ UAB 40	RICE -6.5	UAB W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UAB−11.1 →−13.5▼ 2.4#118

RICE−9.0 →−13.8▼ 4.8#119

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

UAB

Longer bar = better

RICE

#60

Offense

◀ UAB better

#114

#134

Defense

RICE better ▶

#79

−1.0 #129

Turnovers

RICE better ▶

0.0 #75

67 plays #68

Pace

Even

67 plays #64

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UAB has the ball

Even matchup

	UAB off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	28.4 #69	29.1 #100	UAB
Yards / play	6.17 #36	5.79 #92	UAB
PPA / play	+0.12 #72	+0.17 #102	UAB
Success rate	44% #62	37% #22	RICE

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: RICE offense

	RICE off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	20.8 #115	38.8 #134	Even
Yards / play	4.73 #130	6.53 #131	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #97	+0.34 #136	RICE
Success rate	39% #112	51% #136	RICE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UAB scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	4.8 #102	9.9 #48	14.6 #70	7.5 #39	6.3 #77	13.8 #59
RICE allowed	8.4 #124	8.2 #86	16.7 #117	6.2 #94	5.1 #40	11.3 #59

RICE scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	3.0 #127	7.7 #78	10.7 #112	2.7 #130	6.0 #85	8.7 #124
UAB allowed	11.8 #136	12.0 #134	23.8 #136	8.4 #125	6.6 #75	15.0 #118

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.