Memphis @ Rice: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Fri, Oct 31, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Rice · Conference game

Weather at kickoff67°F2 mphgusts 7DryWeather watch ›

Memphis

7-1 · Power #61

▲ winner

Final

Rice

4-4 · Power #126

final

Closing spread

MEM -13.5

✓ MEM W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

MEM 31–17 RICE

✓ MEM (85%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMEM -13.5

CloseMEM -13.5

Total54.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenMEM -13.5

no move

CloseMEM -13.5

No change since the open

Total

Open54.5

▼ 6

Close48.5

Down 6 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened MEM -13.5 · unchangedmodel MEM -17.5

model MEM -17.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 78%, covered 45% (76 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMEM -13.5

CloseMEM -13.5

Total54.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MEM as a 13.5-point road favorite at RICE, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: MEM won 38–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 52 points went over 48.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 80%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.6 against an average line of 15.3; 49.4 points a game (usually 54). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CIN @ TEM 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-17	23–3	W	U49
Close	LIB @ CONN 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-13.5	33–36	L	O45
Close	UTSA @ RICE 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-14	41–7	W	U56
Close	ARIZ @ ASU 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-12.5	59–23	W	O49.25
Close	TOL @ BALL 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest	-17.5	13–6	L	U48
Close	LIB @ UTEP 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & rest	-17.5	42–28	L	O54.5
Close	UCLA @ STAN 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & situation	-17	42–7	W	U52
Close	TULN @ ECU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & rest	-17	13–10	L	U44.5
Close	TOL @ WMU 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & rest	-13	13–14	L	U48.5
Close	APP @ ULM 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & situation	-13.5	41–40	L	O51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MEM WWWLW	7-1	88%	3-1	5-1
RICE WWLLW	4-4	50%	1-3	3-2

Venue/role: MEM away, as favorite; RICE home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MEM OOUUO	3-5	38%	7-1
RICE OUUOO	5-3	63%	4-4

Went over in Q4. Of 520 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MEM	9-1 90%	8-2 80%	5-5 50%
RICE	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MEM 1–0 RICE MEM leads · 1 game since 2023 · MEM has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 8 2024	Rice 20 @ Memphis 27	MEM -7.5	RICE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MEM+2.2 →+4.8▲ 2.6#51

RICE−9.0 →−13.3▼ 4.3#117

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

MEM

Longer bar = better

RICE

#23

Offense

◀ MEM better

#108

#55

Defense

◀ MEM better

#72

+0.9 #18

Turnovers

◀ MEM better

+0.3 #58

68 plays #51

Pace

Even

67 plays #60

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MEM has the ball

Advantage: MEM offense

	MEM off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	37.6 #15	28.0 #95	MEM
Yards / play	6.42 #30	5.73 #88	MEM
PPA / play	+0.25 #22	+0.13 #89	MEM
Success rate	48% #23	36% #15	Even

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: MEM defense

	RICE off	MEM def	Edge
Points / game	21.6 #111	19.9 #33	MEM
Yards / play	4.89 #122	5.46 #69	MEM
PPA / play	+0.08 #97	+0.08 #58	MEM
Success rate	41% #102	41% #59	MEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

MEM scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MEM scored	8.6 #20	10.9 #34	19.5 #18	7.0 #45	11.1 #6	18.1 #17
RICE allowed	7.8 #114	7.1 #72	14.9 #94	6.1 #92	5.8 #52	11.9 #73

RICE scoring against the MEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	3.4 #123	7.8 #81	11.1 #109	3.0 #128	5.9 #87	8.9 #118
MEM allowed	5.5 #73	9.3 #103	14.8 #93	2.5 #14	2.6 #4	5.1 #5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.