Marshall @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Thu, Oct 30, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff56°F11 mphgusts 23DryWeather watch ›

Marshall

4-3 · Power #88

final

Final

Coastal Carolina

4-3 · Power #122

▲ winner

Closing spread

MRSH -7.5

✓ CCU W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 71 pts

Model before kickoff

MRSH 29–22 CCU

✗ MRSH (70%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMRSH -4.5

CloseMRSH -7.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenMRSH -4.5

3 → MRSH

CloseMRSH -7.5

3 pts toward Marshall

Total

Open55.5

no move

Close55.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened MRSH -4.5 · closed MRSH -7.5 · moved 3 toward MRSHmodel MRSH -7

model MRSH -7

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 67%, covered 52% (129 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 58% (69 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenMRSH -4.5

CloseMRSH -7.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MRSH as a 7.5-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 44–27 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 71 points went over 55.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 967%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.1 against an average line of 7.2; 56.5 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ODU @ ARST 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & season form	-5.5	40–32	W	O58.5
Very close	USF @ RICE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & situation	-5.5	28–35	L	O54
Close	JXST @ LT 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar total & situation	-10	44–37	L	O55.5
Close	TOL @ EMU 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-10	29–28	L	O54.5
Close	CONN @ UAB 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-7.5	31–23	W	P54
Close	TOL @ WMU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & season form	-8.5	14–20	L	U50.5
Close	USM @ UL 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-4.5	22–10	W	U54.5
Close	TXST @ ULM 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & spread	-9.5	38–17	W	O50
Close	APP @ ODU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-6	21–28	L	U56
Close	NIU @ CMU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-4.75	31–37	L	O48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MRSH WWLWW	5-2	71%	2-1	2-2
CCU LWLWW	3-4	43%	1-2	3-3

Venue/role: MRSH away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MRSH UOOOO	5-2	71%	4-3
CCU UOOUO	4-3	57%	4-3

Went over in Q3. Of 497 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MRSH	7-3 70%	8-2 80%	7-3 70%
CCU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

MRSH 1–1 CCU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · MRSH has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 16 2024	Coastal Carolina 19 @ Marshall 31	MRSH -7.5	MRSH W
Oct 28 2023	Marshall 6 @ Coastal Carolina 34	MRSH -3.5	CCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MRSH−1.7 →−4.9▼ 3.2#83

CCU−6.6 →−13.4▼ 6.8#120

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

MRSH

Longer bar = better

CCU

#54

Offense

◀ MRSH better

#118

#87

Defense

Even

#75

+1.1 #7

Turnovers

◀ MRSH better

−0.9 #122

70 plays #36

Pace

◀ MRSH faster

67 plays #71

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: MRSH offense

	MRSH off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	35.1 #29	28.3 #96	MRSH
Yards / play	5.59 #82	5.65 #81	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #52	+0.07 #55	Even
Success rate	44% #53	41% #67	Even

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: MRSH defense

	CCU off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #122	30.9 #113	Even
Yards / play	4.61 #133	6.17 #120	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #108	+0.12 #80	MRSH
Success rate	40% #107	39% #34	MRSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

MRSH scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	7.9 #35	9.7 #50	17.6 #41	6.7 #57	7.6 #59	14.3 #48
CCU allowed	5.9 #81	9.9 #113	15.7 #104	7.4 #114	5.1 #40	12.6 #84

CCU scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	2.3 #131	3.9 #131	6.1 #135	6.0 #70	6.9 #71	12.9 #69
MRSH allowed	6.4 #92	7.1 #75	13.6 #78	5.6 #76	8.4 #117	14.0 #109

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.