Coastal Carolina @ App State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Sat, Oct 18, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 8 · at App State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff70°F5 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

3-3 · Power #122

▲ winner

Final

App State

4-2 · Power #115

final

Closing spread

APP -10.5

✓ CCU W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 82 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 20–31 APP

✗ APP (77%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenAPP -11.5

CloseAPP -10.5

Total49.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenAPP -11.5

1 → CCU

CloseAPP -10.5

1 pt toward Coastal Carolina

Total

Open49.5

▼ 2

Close47.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened APP -11.5 · closed APP -10.5 · moved 1 toward CCUmodel APP -10

model APP -10

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 41% (121 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (239 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenAPP -11.5

CloseAPP -10.5

Total49.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like APP as a 10.5-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 45–37 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 82 points went over 47.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8 against an average line of 10.2; 47.6 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CMU vs WMU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-10	10–12	L	U48.75
Very close	MRSH vs GAST 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-9.5	35–20	W	O51.5
Very close	NIU vs BALL 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-9.5	17–20	L	U43
Very close	UTSA vs RICE 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-9.5	61–13	W	O48.5
Very close	FRES vs HAW 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-12.5	20–21	L	U45.5
Very close	WKU vs SHSU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-11	28–23	L	U52.25
Very close	LT vs SHSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & season form	-8.5	27–42	L	O49.25
Very close	RICE vs CONN 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & rest	-10	31–38	L	O47.5
Very close	SHSU vs LT 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-10.5	9–3	L	U45.5
Very close	MTSU vs FIU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10.5	40–6	W	U51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU LLWLW	2-4	33%	1-2	2-3
APP LLLWW	3-3	50%	1-1	3-2

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; APP home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU UUOOU	3-3	50%	3-3
APP UOOUO	3-2	60%	4-2

Went over in Q3. Of 465 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–51.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
APP	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	3-6 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CCU 5–8 APP APP leads · 13 games since 2005 · APP has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 7 2024	App State 24 @ Coastal Carolina 38	APP -1.5	CCU W
Oct 10 2023	Coastal Carolina 27 @ App State 24	APP -4.5	CCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−6.6 →−13.7▼ 7.1#116

APP−6.4 →−8.5▼ 2.1#102

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

CCU

Longer bar = better

APP

#129

Offense

APP better ▶

#81

#67

Defense

Even

#61

−1.0 #129

Turnovers

APP better ▶

−0.5 #108

67 plays #59

Pace

APP faster ▶

73 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: APP defense

	CCU off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	14.7 #133	25.3 #77	APP
Yards / play	4.31 #135	5.14 #47	APP
PPA / play	−0.01 #126	+0.06 #52	APP
Success rate	37% #123	41% #67	APP

When APP has the ball

Even matchup

	APP off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	26.3 #82	26.8 #88	Even
Yards / play	5.75 #67	5.69 #90	APP
PPA / play	+0.07 #99	+0.03 #40	CCU
Success rate	43% #77	40% #48	CCU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	1.0 #134	3.3 #133	4.3 #135	4.7 #95	5.7 #90	10.3 #102
APP allowed	4.0 #48	6.7 #57	10.7 #51	6.2 #92	8.5 #114	14.7 #114

APP scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	7.5 #44	5.7 #115	13.2 #88	9.7 #13	3.5 #121	13.2 #66
CCU allowed	4.5 #59	9.8 #115	14.3 #91	7.0 #111	5.5 #51	12.5 #86

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.