App State @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2025)

Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F5 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

App State

4-3 · Power #115

final

Final

Old Dominion

4-3 · Power #46

▲ winner

Closing spread

ODU -12.5

✓ APP W

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

APP 23–36 ODU

✓ ODU (82%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -13.5

CloseODU -12.5

Total58.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -13.5

1 → APP

CloseODU -12.5

1 pt toward App State

Total

Open58.5

▲ 2

Close60.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -13.5 · closed ODU -12.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel ODU -14.5

model ODU -14.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 11.5–13.5 since 2023: won 82%, covered 53% (92 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (245 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -13.5

CloseODU -12.5

Total58.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 12.5-point home favorite against APP, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: ODU won 24–21; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 60.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 78%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14 against an average line of 12.5; 55.2 points a game (usually 53.8). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TXST vs ARST 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-13.5	41–9	W	U66
Very close	LIB vs LT 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-14.5	56–30	W	O59
Very close	CCU vs ODU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & total	-11.25	21–49	L	O58.5
Very close	JMU vs GASO 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest	-15	35–10	W	U54.5
Very close	LIB vs ODU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-13.5	38–10	W	U58.5
Very close	BGSU vs WMU 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form	-9.5	31–13	W	U57.5
Very close	JMU vs APP 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10.75	23–26	L	U56.25
Close	WSU vs ASU 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & season form	-9.5	28–18	W	U59.5
Close	GAST vs ULM 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	28–31	L	U59.5
Close	WKU vs RICE 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-13.5	45–10	W	U61

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
APP LLWWL	3-4	43%	1-2	0-1
ODU WLWLL	4-3	57%	2-1	2-2

Venue/role: APP away, as underdog; ODU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
APP OOUOO	4-2	67%	4-3
ODU OUOOO	5-2	71%	4-3

Stayed under: it needed 30 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 46% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
APP	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	4-5 44%
ODU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

APP 4–3 ODU APP leads · 7 games since 2015 · ODU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 2 2024	Old Dominion 20 @ App State 28	ODU -2.5	APP W
Oct 21 2023	App State 21 @ Old Dominion 28	APP -6	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

APP−6.4 →−9.6▼ 3.2#105

ODU−5.3 →+1.1▲ 6.4#63

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

APP

Longer bar = better

ODU

#78

Offense

ODU better ▶

#22

#78

Defense

Even

#68

−0.4 #106

Turnovers

◀ APP better

−0.9 #124

74 plays #14

Pace

◀ APP faster

62 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When APP has the ball

Even matchup

	APP off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	27.9 #76	26.3 #87	Even
Yards / play	5.70 #72	5.23 #47	ODU
PPA / play	+0.10 #94	+0.04 #39	ODU
Success rate	43% #68	44% #99	APP

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ODU offense

	ODU off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	33.1 #43	28.1 #99	ODU
Yards / play	7.41 #6	5.32 #54	ODU
PPA / play	+0.28 #19	+0.10 #67	ODU
Success rate	49% #21	43% #90	ODU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

APP scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	8.4 #26	6.3 #106	14.7 #71	9.7 #11	3.4 #124	13.1 #67
ODU allowed	4.0 #41	6.3 #50	10.3 #40	9.3 #127	6.7 #72	16.0 #125

ODU scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	8.6 #24	10.9 #34	19.4 #26	6.9 #54	6.9 #71	13.7 #60
APP allowed	4.9 #62	6.7 #60	11.6 #59	7.3 #110	9.3 #126	16.6 #127

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.