Old Dominion @ James Madison: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Sat, Oct 18, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 8 · at James Madison · Conference game

Weather at kickoff76°F7 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Old Dominion

4-2 · Power #46

final

Final

James Madison

5-1 · Power #28

▲ winner

Closing spread

JMU -3.5

✓ JMU W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 90 pts

Model before kickoff

ODU 23–26 JMU

✓ JMU (59%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -1.5

CloseJMU -3.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJMU -1.5

2 → JMU

CloseJMU -3.5

2 pts toward James Madison

Total

Open47.5

no move

Close47.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JMU -1.5 · closed JMU -3.5 · moved 2 toward JMUmodel JMU -1.5

model JMU -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (254 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 44% (88 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -1.5

CloseJMU -3.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 3.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: JMU won 63–27; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 90 points went over 47.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.1 against an average line of 3.9; 45.5 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MIA vs LOU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & season form	-1	31–38	L	O46.5
Very close	ASU vs BYU 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	28–23	W	O48.5
Very close	SJSU vs UNLV 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	40–7	W	U51.5
Very close	TULN vs UTSA 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	29–16	W	U52.5
Very close	LOU vs DUKE 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & season form	-5	23–0	W	U47
Very close	CIN vs ASU 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & season form	-5	24–14	W	U51
Very close	WISC vs PUR 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-1.5	35–24	W	O51.5
Very close	NCST vs FSU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	19–17	L	U50.5
Very close	ISU vs KU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	21–28	L	U53.5
Very close	TROY vs USA 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & situation	-6.5	28–10	W	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU WWLWL	4-2	67%	2-1	2-0
JMU WWWLL	4-2	67%	2-1	3-2

Venue/role: ODU away, as underdog; JMU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU OOUOO	4-2	67%	4-2
JMU UUUUU	1-5	17%	5-1

Went over in Q2. Of 465 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–51.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
JMU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ODU 2–5 JMU JMU leads · 7 games since 2011 · JMU has won the last 5 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 16 2024	James Madison 35 @ Old Dominion 32	JMU -1.5	JMU W
Oct 28 2023	Old Dominion 27 @ James Madison 30	JMU -19.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU−5.3 →+4.0▲ 9.3#53

JMU−2.2 →+2.4▲ 4.6#59

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

ODU

Longer bar = better

JMU

#19

Offense

◀ ODU better

#72

#43

Defense

JMU better ▶

−0.7 #120

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #110

64 plays #109

Pace

JMU faster ▶

73 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Even matchup

	ODU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	34.2 #39	13.7 #9	JMU
Yards / play	7.63 #3	4.11 #7	Even
PPA / play	+0.29 #22	−0.06 #14	Even
Success rate	50% #13	28% #1	Even

When JMU has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	JMU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	27.2 #78	20.2 #42	ODU
Yards / play	5.50 #87	4.73 #25	ODU
PPA / play	+0.13 #73	−0.04 #23	ODU
Success rate	45% #48	42% #82	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	6.7 #60	11.5 #28	18.2 #39	8.0 #33	8.0 #47	16.0 #32
JMU allowed	1.7 #7	6.2 #51	7.8 #20	3.5 #36	2.3 #3	5.8 #9

JMU scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	5.2 #86	7.0 #94	12.2 #99	7.5 #47	7.5 #59	15.0 #44
ODU allowed	2.3 #20	5.0 #24	7.3 #15	7.3 #115	5.5 #51	12.8 #91

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.