Old Dominion @ Marshall: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Marshall · Conference game

Weather at kickoff72°F4 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Old Dominion

4-1 · Power #46

final

Final

Marshall

2-3 · Power #88

▲ winner

Closing spread

ODU -14.5

✓ MRSH W

Total

57.5

▲ Over · 72 pts

Model before kickoff

ODU 35–20 MRSH

✗ ODU (84%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -14.5

CloseODU -14.5

Total55.5 → 57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -14.5

no move

CloseODU -14.5

No change since the open

Total

Open55.5

▲ 2

Close57.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -14.5 · unchangedmodel ODU -13

model ODU -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 13.5–15.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 56% (54 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -14.5

CloseODU -14.5

Total55.5 → 57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 14.5-point road favorite at MRSH, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: MRSH won 48–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 72 points went over 57.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 83%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.9 against an average line of 13.3; 64.5 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MEM @ FAU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest	-14	55–26	W	O62.5
Close	SMU @ RICE 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-12.5	36–31	L	O59
Close	WASH @ ASU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	38–45	L	O56
Close	BOIS @ SJSU 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-14.5	42–21	W	O62
Close	MISS @ VAN 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-17	52–28	W	O59.5
Close	GT @ WAKE 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-13	30–29	L	O53.5
Close	WAKE @ ODU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & total	-13.75	27–24	L	U60.5
Close	UL @ RICE 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar season form	-11.5	21–33	L	O52
Close	JMU @ GASO 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-9.5	14–28	L	U58.5
Close	NAVY @ TLSA 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-13.5	42–23	W	O52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU WWWLW	4-1	80%	2-0	2-1
MRSH WLWWL	3-2	60%	1-1	1-0

Venue/role: ODU away, as favorite; MRSH home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU UOOUO	3-2	60%	4-1
MRSH OUUOO	3-2	60%	2-3

Went over in Q4. Of 413 earlier overs in games with totals 53.5–61.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
MRSH	7-3 70%	8-2 80%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ODU 0–2 MRSH MRSH leads · 2 games since 2023 · MRSH has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2024	Marshall 42 @ Old Dominion 35	ODU -2.5	MRSH W
Sep 30 2023	Old Dominion 35 @ Marshall 41	MRSH -14.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU−5.3 →+6.0▲ 11.3#45

MRSH−1.7 →−8.3▼ 6.6#97

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

ODU

Longer bar = better

MRSH

#14

Offense

◀ ODU better

#61

#33

Defense

◀ ODU better

#97

+0.2 #60

Turnovers

Even

+0.2 #57

64 plays #110

Pace

MRSH faster ▶

66 plays #79

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ODU offense

	ODU off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	36.2 #35	31.0 #118	ODU
Yards / play	7.84 #3	5.93 #108	ODU
PPA / play	+0.36 #9	+0.16 #101	ODU
Success rate	52% #10	41% #62	ODU

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	MRSH off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	31.6 #55	14.6 #16	ODU
Yards / play	5.48 #87	4.49 #22	ODU
PPA / play	+0.20 #44	−0.11 #10	ODU
Success rate	44% #57	43% #83	MRSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	6.6 #62	13.2 #16	19.8 #28	9.6 #17	6.8 #72	16.4 #29
MRSH allowed	6.2 #93	7.4 #78	13.6 #87	7.8 #118	7.0 #84	14.8 #117

MRSH scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	8.2 #33	9.0 #68	17.2 #49	5.4 #84	7.0 #67	12.4 #77
ODU allowed	1.4 #8	2.6 #8	4.0 #7	5.4 #81	5.2 #47	10.6 #54

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.