UL Monroe @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff63°F18 mphgusts 34Wet0.2 mmWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

UL Monroe

3-2 · Power #130

final

Final

Coastal Carolina

2-3 · Power #122

▲ winner

Closing spread

ULM -2.5

✓ CCU W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

ULM 23–22 CCU

✗ ULM (53%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenULM -2.5

CloseULM -2.5

Total43.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenULM -2.5

no move

CloseULM -2.5

No change since the open

Total

Open43.5

▲ 2

Close45.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ULM -2.5 · unchangedmodel CCU -4

model CCU -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 56%, covered 47% (199 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenULM -2.5

CloseULM -2.5

Total43.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ULM as a 2.5-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 8, covered 8, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 23–8 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 45.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Above normal · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 13.8 against an average line of 3.1; 48.2 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CSU @ NEV 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2	38–21	W	O45.5
Very close	BUFF @ AKR 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1	41–30	W	O48
Close	NMSU @ UTEP 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	28–7	W	U49
Close	CMU @ BALL 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-5	17–24	L	U42
Close	CLT @ FAU 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	39–27	W	O49.5
Close	MTSU @ SHSU 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	20–23	L	U50
Close	NAVY @ CLT 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-3	14–0	W	U44.5
Close	NIU @ AKR 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-4	55–14	W	O42.5
Close	FAU @ CLT 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & total	-3.5	38–16	W	O45
Close	USM @ ULM 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	20–10	W	U50

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ULM LLWWL	2-3	40%	1-2	1-1
CCU LLLWL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-3

Venue/role: ULM away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ULM UOOUO	3-2	60%	3-2
CCU OUUOO	3-2	60%	2-3

Stayed under: it needed 15 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 53% of games with totals 41.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ULM	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%
CCU	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ULM−12.3 →−14.6▼ 2.3#126

CCU−6.6 →−13.8▼ 7.2#116

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

ULM

Longer bar = better

CCU

#89

Offense

◀ ULM better

#131

#90

Defense

Even

#91

0.0 #76

Turnovers

◀ ULM better

−1.4 #135

57 plays #135

Pace

CCU faster ▶

67 plays #70

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ULM has the ball

Even matchup

	ULM off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #117	30.6 #117	Even
Yards / play	5.71 #75	5.79 #97	ULM
PPA / play	+0.19 #50	+0.09 #67	Even
Success rate	40% #113	43% #84	CCU

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: ULM defense

	CCU off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	13.0 #135	31.2 #119	Even
Yards / play	4.08 #135	5.81 #98	ULM
PPA / play	−0.01 #128	+0.13 #90	ULM
Success rate	38% #126	40% #51	ULM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ULM scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	5.6 #78	5.4 #114	11.0 #105	4.2 #102	3.8 #119	8.0 #124
CCU allowed	5.4 #81	11.8 #127	17.2 #115	6.8 #107	6.6 #76	13.4 #97

CCU scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	0.0 #136	2.0 #136	2.0 #136	4.2 #102	6.8 #73	11.0 #93
ULM allowed	9.0 #123	6.4 #55	15.4 #103	7.4 #113	8.4 #111	15.8 #126

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.