San José State @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F9 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

San José State

2-3 · Power #106

final

Final

Wyoming

2-3 · Power #107

▲ winner

Closing spread

SJSU -1.5

✓ WYO W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 63 pts

Model before kickoff

SJSU 25–24 WYO

✗ SJSU (51%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSJSU -2.5

CloseSJSU -1.5

Total49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSJSU -2.5

1 → WYO

CloseSJSU -1.5

1 pt toward Wyoming

Total

Open49.5

no move

Close49.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SJSU -2.5 · closed SJSU -1.5 · moved 1 toward WYOmodel WYO -3.5

model WYO -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 53%, covered 50% (135 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (230 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSJSU -2.5

CloseSJSU -1.5

Total49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SJSU as a 1.5-point road favorite at WYO, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: WYO won 35–28 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 63 points went over 49.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 52%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 4.4 against an average line of 2.8; 46.8 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MTSU @ SHSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar season form & rest	-3.5	20–23	L	U50
Very close	CSU @ NEV 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & rest	-2	38–21	W	O45.5
Very close	FRES @ NEV 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & total	-3	24–21	P	U50
Very close	UAB @ NAVY 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	6–31	L	U52
Very close	CCU @ TROY 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & total	-4	24–38	L	O51.5
Very close	KENT @ BGSU 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & season form	-2.75	40–6	W	U55.75
Very close	RICE @ CLT 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-1	28–7	W	U46.5
Very close	OHIO @ M-OH 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-2.5	37–21	W	O52
Very close	FAU @ UTEP 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & situation	-3	21–24	L	U50.75
Very close	LIB @ SHSU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & spread	-2.5	18–20	L	U47.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SJSU LWLWW	3-2	60%	2-0	1-2
WYO WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-2	0-3

Venue/role: SJSU away, as favorite; WYO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SJSU UUOOO	3-2	60%	2-3
WYO UUUOU	1-4	20%	2-3

Went over in Q4. Of 506 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SJSU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
WYO	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SJSU 7–9 WYO WYO leads · 16 games since 1959 · WYO has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 19 2024	Wyoming 14 @ San José State 24	SJSU -11.5	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SJSU−6.2 →−7.1▼ 0.9#90

WYO−11.9 →−10.6▲ 1.3#107

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

SJSU

Longer bar = better

WYO

#60

Offense

◀ SJSU better

#112

Defense

WYO better ▶

#61

−0.4 #96

Turnovers

Even

−0.2 #91

65 plays #91

Pace

WYO faster ▶

67 plays #66

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SJSU has the ball

Even matchup

	SJSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	23.2 #102	21.2 #56	WYO
Yards / play	6.38 #39	5.16 #51	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #58	+0.06 #60	Even
Success rate	47% #41	42% #77	SJSU

When WYO has the ball

Even matchup

	WYO off	SJSU def	Edge
Points / game	16.8 #130	28.0 #99	SJSU
Yards / play	5.20 #106	6.20 #119	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #110	+0.22 #120	Even
Success rate	41% #102	45% #109	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

SJSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SJSU scored	3.4 #120	10.4 #39	13.8 #81	5.6 #82	3.8 #119	9.4 #116
WYO allowed	4.0 #47	7.0 #69	11.0 #57	4.2 #51	6.0 #59	10.2 #48

WYO scoring against the SJSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	2.0 #131	3.2 #133	5.2 #133	4.8 #93	6.8 #73	11.6 #85
SJSU allowed	7.6 #116	9.6 #110	17.2 #115	3.4 #35	7.4 #86	10.8 #56

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.