Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Thu, Oct 9, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Kennesaw State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff67°F6 mphgusts 12Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Louisiana Tech

4-1 · Power #93

final

Final

Kennesaw State

3-2 · Power #97

▲ winner

Closing spread

LT -5.5

✓ KENN W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 42 pts

Model before kickoff

LT 25–19 KENN

✗ LT (66%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLT -5.5

CloseLT -5.5

Total45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLT -5.5

no move

CloseLT -5.5

No change since the open

Total

Open45.5

no move

Close45.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LT -5.5 · unchangedmodel LT -7

model LT -7

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 49% (117 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLT -5.5

CloseLT -5.5

Total45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 5.5-point road favorite at KENN, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: KENN won 35–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 42 points stayed under 45.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.6 against an average line of 5.9; 48 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LT @ UTEP 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar season form & situation	-3.5	30–11	W	U48
Very close	USA @ USM 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & season form	-7.5	27–20	L	O45
Close	LIB @ ODU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar total & situation	-3.5	38–24	W	O47.5
Close	JMU @ ODU 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total & spread	-7.5	37–3	W	U48
Close	NIU @ CMU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & spread	-4.75	31–37	L	O48
Close	TROY @ UL 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar total & spread	-3.5	23–17	W	U42.5
Close	TOL @ BUFF 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & total	-10.5	15–30	L	O44.5
Close	MRSH @ ODU 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar total & spread	-3.5	12–0	W	U46.5
Close	OHIO @ NIU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	13–23	L	U45
Close	CONN @ MASS 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar team ratings & total	-9.5	47–42	L	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT WWWWW	5-0	100%	2-0	4-0
KENN WLLWW	3-2	60%	2-1	2-1

Venue/role: LT away, as favorite; KENN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT UUOUU	1-4	20%	4-1
KENN UOUUU	1-4	20%	3-2

Stayed under: it needed 18 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 54% of games with totals 41.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	6-4 60%	9-1 90%	3-7 30%
KENN	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

LT 1–0 KENN LT leads · 1 game since 2023 · LT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 30 2024	Kennesaw State 0 @ Louisiana Tech 33	LT -13.5	LT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−11.6 →−6.1▲ 5.5#85

KENN−24.1 →−15.6▲ 8.5#127

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

Longer bar = better

KENN

#105

Offense

Even

#100

#18

Defense

◀ LT better

#78

+1.6 #1

Turnovers

◀ LT better

−0.8 #122

64 plays #108

Pace

KENN faster ▶

65 plays #91

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Advantage: KENN defense

	LT off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	28.0 #74	23.2 #68	Even
Yards / play	4.91 #123	5.70 #87	KENN
PPA / play	+0.07 #104	+0.12 #82	KENN
Success rate	39% #117	42% #76	KENN

When KENN has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	KENN off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	19.4 #117	13.6 #13	LT
Yards / play	5.45 #89	4.88 #36	LT
PPA / play	+0.08 #99	−0.13 #7	LT
Success rate	41% #95	35% #14	LT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

LT scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	6.8 #59	6.6 #102	13.4 #89	4.8 #88	9.8 #22	14.6 #52
KENN allowed	4.8 #69	4.2 #19	9.0 #33	6.2 #96	8.0 #101	14.2 #112

KENN scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	9.6 #17	2.6 #133	12.2 #100	6.0 #68	1.2 #134	7.2 #125
LT allowed	3.4 #37	3.4 #14	6.8 #17	2.0 #13	4.8 #39	6.8 #14

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.