Rutgers @ Washington: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Fri, Oct 10, 2025, 9:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Washington · Conference game

Weather at kickoff59°F8 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Rutgers

3-2 · Power #62

final

Final

Washington

4-1 · Power #15

▲ winner

Closing spread

WASH -9.5

✓ WASH W

Total

62.5

▼ Under · 57 pts

Model before kickoff

RUTG 25–36 WASH

✓ WASH (77%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWASH -10.5

CloseWASH -9.5

Total59.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWASH -10.5

1 → RUTG

CloseWASH -9.5

1 pt toward Rutgers

Total

Open59.5

▲ 3

Close62.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WASH -10.5 · closed WASH -9.5 · moved 1 toward RUTGmodel WASH -13.5

model WASH -13.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 8.5–10.5 since 2023: won 77%, covered 44% (111 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (222 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWASH -10.5

CloseWASH -9.5

Total59.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WASH as a 9.5-point home favorite against RUTG, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: WASH won 38–19; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 57 points stayed under 62.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.1 against an average line of 9.6; 57.7 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FSU vs WAKE 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & season form	-6	21–31	L	U67.5
Close	KSU vs KU 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-10	29–27	L	P56
Close	OKST vs TTU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & season form	-11.5	41–31	L	O65.5
Close	USC vs WSU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & total	-12.5	30–14	W	U64.5
Close	TEX vs WVU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & season form	-7.5	38–20	W	U61
Close	JMU vs APP 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & season form	-10.75	23–26	L	U56.25
Close	OU vs WVU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-13	59–20	W	O59.5
Close	KSU vs ARIZ 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar total & spread	-7	31–7	W	U61
Close	LOU vs PITT 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	37–9	W	U57.5
Close	FSU vs FLA 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-10	45–38	L	O58

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RUTG LWWLW	3-2	60%	1-0	1-1
WASH LWWLL	2-3	40%	1-2	2-2

Venue/role: RUTG away, as underdog; WASH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RUTG OOOOO	5-0	100%	3-2
WASH OOOUU	3-2	60%	4-1

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 46% of games with totals 58.5–66.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RUTG	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	9-1 90%
WASH	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

RUTG 1–0 WASH RUTG leads · 1 game since 2023 · RUTG has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 27 2024	Washington 18 @ Rutgers 21	RUTG -1.5	RUTG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RUTG+3.4 →+4.4▲ 1.0#53

WASH+8.0 →+13.0▲ 5.0#22

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

RUTG

Longer bar = better

WASH

#31

Offense

Even

#19

#104

Defense

WASH better ▶

#50

+0.2 #61

Turnovers

WASH better ▶

+1.0 #17

73 plays #18

Pace

◀ RUTG faster

67 plays #69

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RUTG has the ball

Even matchup

	RUTG off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	39.0 #20	19.8 #39	Even
Yards / play	5.96 #58	4.60 #24	WASH
PPA / play	+0.26 #28	+0.06 #57	RUTG
Success rate	51% #18	42% #78	RUTG

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: WASH offense

	WASH off	RUTG def	Edge
Points / game	39.4 #17	25.4 #81	WASH
Yards / play	6.70 #23	6.37 #125	WASH
PPA / play	+0.30 #21	+0.14 #92	WASH
Success rate	52% #14	46% #117	WASH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

RUTG scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RUTG scored	9.6 #17	15.0 #6	24.6 #10	5.4 #79	9.0 #33	14.4 #56
WASH allowed	4.0 #47	6.8 #58	10.8 #57	7.0 #107	2.0 #4	9.0 #36

WASH scoring against the RUTG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	7.0 #53	9.6 #55	16.6 #60	8.2 #38	14.6 #1	22.8 #4
RUTG allowed	5.6 #83	7.4 #76	13.0 #82	7.6 #114	4.8 #39	12.4 #86

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.