Kennesaw State @ Florida International: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2025)

Tue, Oct 21, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Florida International · Conference game

Weather at kickoff80°F6 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Kennesaw State

4-2 · Power #97

▲ winner

Final

Florida International

3-3 · Power #109

final

Closing spread

KENN -2.5

✓ KENN W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 71 pts

Model before kickoff

KENN 25–23 FIU

✓ KENN (55%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKENN -1.5

CloseKENN -2.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenKENN -1.5

1 → KENN

CloseKENN -2.5

1 pt toward Kennesaw State

Total

Open48.5

▲ 1

Close49.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened KENN -1.5 · closed KENN -2.5 · moved 1 toward KENNmodel FIU -1.5

model FIU -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 55%, covered 47% (209 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (207 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKENN -1.5

CloseKENN -2.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like KENN as a 2.5-point road favorite at FIU, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: KENN won 45–26; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 71 points went over 49.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.2 against an average line of 3.1; 55 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 5 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NMSU @ UTEP 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	28–7	W	U49
Very close	OHIO @ M-OH 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	37–21	W	O52
Very close	CSU @ NEV 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-2	38–21	W	O45.5
Very close	SJSU @ WYO 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & total	-1.5	28–35	L	O49.5
Very close	USM @ UL 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & situation	-4.5	22–10	W	U54.5
Very close	MTSU @ SHSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & situation	-3.5	20–23	L	U50
Very close	LT @ UTEP 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	30–11	W	U48
Very close	CCU @ TROY 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4	24–38	L	O51.5
Very close	WMU @ BUFF 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & total	-1.5	48–41	W	O49.5
Very close	NIU @ CMU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & situation	-4.75	31–37	L	O48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENN LLWWW	4-2	67%	1-1	1-1
FIU WWLLW	4-2	67%	2-1	2-1

Venue/role: KENN away, as favorite; FIU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN OUUUU	1-5	17%	4-2
FIU UOUOU	2-4	33%	3-3

Went over in Q4. Of 525 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENN	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%
FIU	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

KENN 2–0 FIU KENN leads · 2 games since 2024 · KENN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2024	Florida International 26 @ Kennesaw State 27	FIU -8.5	KENN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENN−24.1 →−11.6▲ 12.5#111

FIU−11.4 →−12.5▼ 1.1#115

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

KENN

Longer bar = better

FIU

#90

Offense

◀ KENN better

#106

#59

Defense

◀ KENN better

#76

−0.3 #101

Turnovers

Even

−0.3 #99

65 plays #93

Pace

FIU faster ▶

70 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENN has the ball

Even matchup

	KENN off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #107	27.7 #95	Even
Yards / play	5.60 #79	5.97 #111	KENN
PPA / play	+0.12 #80	+0.07 #56	FIU
Success rate	41% #92	39% #43	FIU

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: KENN defense

	FIU off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	21.8 #109	20.5 #42	KENN
Yards / play	5.41 #92	5.42 #66	KENN
PPA / play	+0.04 #115	+0.08 #60	KENN
Success rate	40% #107	41% #69	KENN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

KENN scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	8.0 #34	4.5 #124	12.5 #93	6.2 #65	3.3 #126	9.5 #113
FIU allowed	6.2 #95	9.5 #107	15.7 #104	5.7 #81	6.3 #64	12.0 #75

FIU scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	4.5 #101	7.8 #85	12.3 #95	6.2 #65	3.3 #126	9.5 #113
KENN allowed	5.2 #68	3.5 #9	8.7 #24	5.2 #71	6.7 #71	11.8 #72

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.