Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game
Weather at kickoff63°F8 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›
3-4 · Power #92
16
final
Final
@
7-0 · Power #39
41
▲ winner
Closing spread
GT -17.5
✓ GT W
Total
53.5
▲ Over · 57 pts
Model before kickoff
SYR 19–35 GT
✓ GT (89%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenGT -17.5
CloseGT -17.5
Total54.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Down 1 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GT -17.5 · unchangedmodel GT -14
Opened 54.5 · closed 53.5 · moved 1 downmodel 54
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 49% (114 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenGT -17.5
CloseGT -17.5
Total54.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 17.5-point home favorite against SYR, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: GT won 41–16; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 57 points went over 53.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
9 of 1090%
Normal range · usually 88%
Favorite covered
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 49%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.6 against an average line of 16.1; 54.8 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total
-16.540–34 L O55
Very close
2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread
-18.529–26 L O48
Very close
UCF vs NAVY
2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total
-15.2514–17 L U53
Very close
2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & spread
-17.538–14 W U54.5
Very close
BOIS vs USU
2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest
-16.542–23 W O52
Very close
2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total
-15.542–21 W O55
Very close
2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total
-1524–21 L U53.5
Very close
2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation
-18.538–14 W O51
Very close
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest
-13.535–21 W U57
Very close
2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & team ratings
-1435–20 W U55.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Moderate Georgia Tech ATS trend Hit
Moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Georgia Tech ATS trend (5-2)
Georgia Tech have covered 71% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 338-337 (50%)
Georgia Tech 3-1 ATS at home
Strong against the spread at home this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 228-230 (50%)
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SYR+5.9 →−1.0▼ 6.9#68
GT+6.9 →+9.5▲ 2.6#31
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

SYR
Longer bar = better
GT
#99
Offense
GT better ▶
#24
#102
Defense
GT better ▶
#60
−1.0 #128
Turnovers
GT better ▶
−0.3 #97
74 plays #8
Pace
◀ SYR faster
64 plays #99
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When SYR has the ball
Advantage: GT defense
SYR offGT defEdge
Points / game 26.7 #81 20.6 #42 GT
Yards / play 5.39 #96 5.39 #61 GT
PPA / play +0.03 #117 +0.09 #62 GT
Success rate 41% #100 42% #75 GT
When GT has the ball
Advantage: GT offense
GT offSYR defEdge
Points / game 35.3 #31 29.9 #108 GT
Yards / play 7.18 #9 5.81 #102 GT
PPA / play +0.21 #36 +0.14 #97 GT
Success rate 50% #18 44% #102 GT

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams
SYR scoring against the GT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
SYR scored
4.9
#96
8.7
#70
13.6
#86
3.3
#124
8.9
#34
12.1
#83
GT allowed
1.9
#7
6.9
#65
8.7
#23
4.3
#48
6.7
#72
11.0
#59
GT scoring against the SYR defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
GT scored
8.0
#35
7.1
#92
15.1
#65
8.4
#26
10.7
#10
19.1
#10
SYR allowed
6.7
#100
11.4
#129
18.1
#124
4.9
#59
6.9
#80
11.7
#72

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
GT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
63° · 8 mph
gusts 20 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SYR7d
GT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 139 plays
slowavg 134fast