Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game
Closing spread
GT -17.5
✓ GT W
Total
53.5
▲ Over · 57 pts
Model before kickoff
SYR 19–35 GT
✓ GT (89%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenGT -17.5
CloseGT -17.5
Total54.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGT -17.5
no move
CloseGT -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open54.5
▼ 1
Close53.5
Down 1 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GT -17.5 · unchangedmodel GT -14
model GT -14
Opened 54.5 · closed 53.5 · moved 1 downmodel 54
model 54
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 49% (114 games)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenGT -17.5
CloseGT -17.5
Total54.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like
GT as a 17.5-point home favorite against SYR, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.
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This game: GT won 41–16; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 57 points went over 53.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
9 of 1090%
Normal range · usually 88%
Favorite covered
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 49%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 48%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.6 against an average line of 16.1; 54.8 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total |
-16.5 | 40–34 | L | O55 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread |
-18.5 | 29–26 | L | O48 |
| Very close | 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total |
-15.25 | 14–17 | L | U53 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & spread |
-17.5 | 38–14 | W | U54.5 |
| Very close | 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest |
-16.5 | 42–23 | W | O52 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total |
-15.5 | 42–21 | W | O55 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total |
-15 | 24–21 | L | U53.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation |
-18.5 | 38–14 | W | O51 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest |
-13.5 | 35–21 | W | U57 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & team ratings |
-14 | 35–20 | W | U55.5 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Moderate Georgia Tech ATS trend Hit
Moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Georgia Tech ATS trend (5-2)
Georgia Tech have covered 71% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 338-337 (50%)
Georgia Tech 3-1 ATS at home
Strong against the spread at home this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 228-230 (50%)
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 510 earlier overs in games with totals 49.5–57.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
SYR 1–1 GT
Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · SYR has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7 2024 | Georgia Tech 28 @ Syracuse 31 | GT -2.5 | SYR W |
| Nov 18 2023 | Syracuse 22 @ Georgia Tech 31 | GT -6 | GT W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SYR+5.9 →−1.0▼ 6.9#68
GT+6.9 →+9.5▲ 2.6#31
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#99
Offense
GT better ▶#24
#102
Defense
GT better ▶#60
−1.0 #128
Turnovers
GT better ▶−0.3 #97
74 plays #8
Pace
◀ SYR faster64 plays #99
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| SYR off | GT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 26.7 #81 | 20.6 #42 | GT |
| Yards / play | 5.39 #96 | 5.39 #61 | GT |
| PPA / play | +0.03 #117 | +0.09 #62 | GT |
| Success rate | 41% #100 | 42% #75 | GT |
| GT off | SYR def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.3 #31 | 29.9 #108 | GT |
| Yards / play | 7.18 #9 | 5.81 #102 | GT |
| PPA / play | +0.21 #36 | +0.14 #97 | GT |
| Success rate | 50% #18 | 44% #102 | GT |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams
SYR scoring against the GT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.9 #96 | 8.7 #70 | 13.6 #86 | 3.3 #124 | 8.9 #34 | 12.1 #83 | |
1.9 #7 | 6.9 #65 | 8.7 #23 | 4.3 #48 | 6.7 #72 | 11.0 #59 |
GT scoring against the SYR defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.0 #35 | 7.1 #92 | 15.1 #65 | 8.4 #26 | 10.7 #10 | 19.1 #10 | |
6.7 #100 | 11.4 #129 | 18.1 #124 | 4.9 #59 | 6.9 #80 | 11.7 #72 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
63° · 8 mph
gusts 20 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SYR7d
GT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 139 plays
slowavg 134fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

